Newcastle x Manchester United Betting tips for April 13 in England Premier League

Our betting tip for Newcastle x Manchester United, Sunday, 13/4/2025

📅 13/4/2025 15:30

Newcastle 1.73

X 4.00

Manchester United 4.22

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Newcastle x Manchester United:

🔮 Manchester United wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Manchester United, you can win up to $2110.00!

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Or access: https://www.bet365.com 

The main points for the tip for Newcastle x Manchester United: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Newcastle in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $258.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Manchester United in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-310.0. 👉 In the last 8 matches as the home team, Newcastle scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team against Manchester United, Newcastle scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 3 head-to-head matches between Newcastle x Manchester United, with Newcastle as the home team, they finished under 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 3 Newcastle matches as the home team, it finished over 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team, Newcastle conceded at least 1 goal(s). 👉 Newcastle has not lost any of the last 3 head-to-head matches against Manchester United playing at home.

Do you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Newcastle x Manchester United?

If you want to take a look at more options of betting websites, we, from the Clube, have listed our favorites for you. Right below you can check the best kenyan betting sites from 2025, carefully analysed by us. Pick yours and start betting now on Newcastle x Manchester United:

Analysis from Newcastle x Manchester United for the England Premier League – 13 of April

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Newcastle and Manchester United.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1302187 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Newcastle x Manchester United

Is betting on Newcastle worth it?

🔵 Newcastle: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 57.22% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.73. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 570 times – profiting $416.10;
• And would lose other 430 times – losing -$430.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$13.90.

Is it worth betting on draw?

⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 19.94% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 4.00. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would have hit 200 times – having a profit of $600.00;
• And would lose other 800 times – losing -$800.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$200.00.

Should you bet on Manchester United?

🔴 Manchester United: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 22.84% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 4.22. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 230 times – having a profit of $740.60;
• And would have lost other 770 times – with a loss of -$770.00 because of them.

It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of 💰$29.40.

Handicaps analysis for the match Newcastle x Manchester United

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: 0.0 Newcastle
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Newcastle x Manchester United

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 0.0 Newcastle and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.75 Newcastle.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.75, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.75 Manchester United.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Newcastle x Manchester United

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.00 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 3.00 goals.

The handicap that our algorithm found is the same as the bookies, which means that there is not any value to bet on the Goals Handicap market.