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Home ยป Predictions ยป English Premier League ยป Newcastle x Tottenham Betting tips for September 1 in England Premier League
Sunday, 01 September 2024, 09h30 England Premier League
Newcastle Newcastle
PREDICTION Newcastle wins Probability 45% 1 X 2
Tottenham Tottenham
ODD: @2.2 Don't miss this prediction!

Newcastle x Tottenham Betting tips for September 1 in England Premier League

Our betting tip for Newcastle x Tottenham, Sunday, 1/9/2024
๐Ÿ“… 1/9/2024
09:30
Newcastle Newcastle
2.20
X
4.00
Tottenham Tottenham
2.82

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Newcastle x Tottenham:

๐Ÿ”ฎ Newcastle wins the match
๐Ÿ’ฐ When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Newcastle, you can win up to $1100.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

Important information for your tip for Newcastle x Tottenham:

๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Newcastle in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $223.0.
๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Tottenham in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-51.0.
๐Ÿ‘‰ Newcastle did not concede a goal in the last 3 matches as home team.
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 5 matches as the home team, Newcastle scored at least 1 goal(s).
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 5 matches as the home team against Tottenham, Newcastle scored at least 1 goal(s).
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 5 head-to-head matches between Newcastle x Tottenham, with Newcastle as the home team, they finished over 2.5 goals.
๐Ÿ‘‰ Newcastle is good playing home: it has 3 wins in a row in its last matches at home.
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 7 road matches, Tottenham has not lost any of them.

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Summary

Looking for another bookie to bet on Newcastle x Tottenham?

If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Newcastle x Tottenham, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2024. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:

Analysis from Newcastle x Tottenham for the England Premier League – 1 of September

๐ŸŸ๏ธ Newcastle X Tottenham – England Premier League
๐Ÿ“… 1 of September, 2024 – 09:30
๐Ÿ”ต Newcastle – Winning probability: 45.24% | Fair line: 2.21
โšช Tied game – Probability of tied match: 18.37% | Fair line: 5.44
๐Ÿ”ด Tottenham – Winning probability: 36.39% | Fair line: 2.75
โš– Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Newcastle
โšฝ Expected goals: 3.25 goals
โ›ณ Expected corner kicks: 9.50 corner kicks

When the best bet on Newcastle x Tottenham is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1171332 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Newcastle x Tottenham

Should you bet on Newcastle?

๐Ÿ”ต Newcastle: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 45.24%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.20. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 450 times – profiting $540.00;
  • And would have lost other 550 times – with a loss of -$550.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of ๐Ÿ’ฐ$10.00.

Should you bet on draw?

โšช draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 18.37% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 4.00. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 180 times – having a profit of $540.00;
  • And would have lost other 820 times – with a loss of -$820.00 because of them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$280.00.

Is betting on Tottenham worth it?

๐Ÿ”ด Tottenham: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 36.39%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.82. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 360 times – having a profit of $655.20;
  • And would lose other 640 times – losing -$640.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$15.20.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Handicaps analysis for the match Newcastle x Tottenham

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

โš– Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Newcastle
โšฝ Expected goals: 3.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Newcastle x Tottenham

โš– Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.5 Newcastle, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.25 Newcastle.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.25 Newcastle.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Newcastle x Tottenham

โšฝ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.25 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 3.50 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: – 3.50 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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