Newcastle x Wolverhampton Betting tips for January 15 in England Premier League
📅 15/1/2025 19:30 |
Newcastle 1.39 |
X 5.00 |
Wolverhampton 7.22 |
This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Newcastle x Wolverhampton:
🔮 Newcastle wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Newcastle, you can win up to $695.00!
Important information for your tip for Newcastle x Wolverhampton: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Newcastle in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $78.0. |
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Analysis from Newcastle x Wolverhampton for the England Premier League – 15 of January
🏟️ Newcastle X Wolverhampton – England Premier League |
A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Newcastle and Wolverhampton.
And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1246713 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:
Tips for the 1×2 market for Newcastle x Wolverhampton
Is betting on Newcastle worth it?
🔵 Newcastle: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 89.82% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.39. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 900 times – profiting $351.00;
- And would have lost other 100 times – with a loss of -$100.00 because of them.
Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of 💰$251.00.
Is it worth betting on draw?
⚪ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 6.49% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 5.00. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 60 times – having a profit of $240.00;
- And would have lost other 940 times – with a loss of -$940.00 because of them.
That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$700.00.
Is it a good idea to bet on Wolverhampton?
🔴 Wolverhampton: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 3.69% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 7.22. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 40 times – this would give you a profit of $248.80
- And would have lost other 960 times – with a loss of -$960.00 because of them.
Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$711.20.
Handicaps analysis for the match Newcastle x Wolverhampton
Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.
Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.5 Newcastle
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Newcastle x Wolverhampton
⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -1.5 Newcastle, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -1.0 Newcastle.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -1.0 Newcastle.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Newcastle x Wolverhampton
⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.00 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 3.00 goals.
The handicap that our algorithm found is the same as the bookies, which means that there is not any value to bet on the Goals Handicap market.