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Home » Predictions » English Premier League » Newcastle x Wolverhampton Betting tips for January 15 in England Premier League
Wednesday, 15 January 2025, 19h30 England Premier League
Newcastle Newcastle
PREDICTION Newcastle wins Probability 89% 1 X 2
Wolverhampton Wolverhampton
ODD: @1.39 Don't miss this prediction!

Newcastle x Wolverhampton Betting tips for January 15 in England Premier League

Our betting tip for Newcastle x Wolverhampton, Wednesday, 15/1/2025
📅 15/1/2025
19:30
Newcastle Newcastle
1.39
X
5.00
Wolverhampton Wolverhampton
7.22

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Newcastle x Wolverhampton:

🔮 Newcastle wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Newcastle, you can win up to $695.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

Important information for your tip for Newcastle x Wolverhampton:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Newcastle in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $78.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Wolverhampton in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-5.0.
👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team, Newcastle scored at least 3 goal(s).
👉 In the last 4 matches as the away team, Wolverhampton scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team against Wolverhampton, Newcastle scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 5 Newcastle matches as the home team, it finished over 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 8 Wolverhampton matches as the away team, it finished over 2.5 goals.
👉 Newcastle is good playing home: it has 4 wins in a row in its last matches at home.
👉 In the last 3 road matches, Wolverhampton has not lost any of them.
👉 Newcastle has not lost any of the last 5 head-to-head matches against Wolverhampton playing at home.

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Summary

Do you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Newcastle x Wolverhampton?

If you want to take a look at more options of betting websites, we, from the Clube, have listed our favorites for you. Right below you can check the best kenyan betting sites from 2025, carefully analysed by us. Pick yours and start betting now on Newcastle x Wolverhampton:

Analysis from Newcastle x Wolverhampton for the England Premier League – 15 of January

🏟️ Newcastle X Wolverhampton – England Premier League
📅 15 of January, 2025 – 19:30
🔵 Newcastle – Winning probability: 89.82% | Fair line: 1.11
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 6.49% | Fair line: 15.42
🔴 Wolverhampton – Winning probability: 3.69% | Fair line: 27.08
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.5 Newcastle
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 10.00 corner kicks

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Newcastle and Wolverhampton.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1246713 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Newcastle x Wolverhampton

Is betting on Newcastle worth it?

🔵 Newcastle: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 89.82% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.39. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 900 times – profiting $351.00;
  • And would have lost other 100 times – with a loss of -$100.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of 💰$251.00.

Is it worth betting on draw?

draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 6.49% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 5.00. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 60 times – having a profit of $240.00;
  • And would have lost other 940 times – with a loss of -$940.00 because of them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$700.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on Wolverhampton?

🔴 Wolverhampton: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 3.69% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 7.22. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 40 times – this would give you a profit of $248.80
  • And would have lost other 960 times – with a loss of -$960.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$711.20.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Newcastle x Wolverhampton

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.5 Newcastle
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Newcastle x Wolverhampton

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -1.5 Newcastle, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -1.0 Newcastle.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -1.0 Newcastle.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Newcastle x Wolverhampton

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.00 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 3.00 goals.

The handicap that our algorithm found is the same as the bookies, which means that there is not any value to bet on the Goals Handicap market.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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