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Home ยป Predictions ยป English Premier League ยป Nottm Forest x Brighton Betting tips for November 25 in England Premier League
Saturday, 25 November 2023, 00h00 England Premier League
Nottm Forest Nottm Forest
PREDICTION Nottm Forest wins Probability 37% 1 X 2
Brighton Brighton
ODD: @3.35 Don't miss this prediction!

Nottm Forest x Brighton Betting tips for November 25 in England Premier League

Our betting tip for Nottm Forest x Brighton, Saturday, 25/11/2023
๐Ÿ“… 25/11/2023
15:00
Nottm Forest Nottm Forest
3.35
X
3.70
Brighton Brighton
2.08

Our algorithm has selected this tip for Nottm Forest x Brighton:

๐Ÿ”ฎ Nottm Forest wins the match
๐Ÿ’ฐ When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Nottm Forest, you can win up to $1675.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

The main points for the tip for Nottm Forest x Brighton:

๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Nottm Forest in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-125.0.
๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Brighton in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-330.0.
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 4 matches as the home team, Nottm Forest scored at least 1 goal(s).
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 5 matches as the away team, Brighton scored at least 1 goal(s).
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 3 matches as the home team against Brighton, Nottm Forest scored at least 1 goal(s).
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 3 head-to-head matches between Nottm Forest x Brighton, with Nottm Forest as the home team, they finished over 2.5 goals.

๐Ÿ“Š Check out the analysis from this match on Betfellows: Complete prognostic for Nottm Forest x Brighton

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Summary

Looking for another bookie to bet on Nottm Forest x Brighton?

If you want to take a look at more options of betting websites, we, from the Clube, have listed our favorites for you. Right below you can check the best kenyan betting sites from 2023, carefully analysed by us. Pick yours and start betting now on Nottm Forest x Brighton:

Analysis from Nottm Forest x Brighton for the England Premier League – 25 of November

๐ŸŸ๏ธ Nottm Forest X Brighton – England Premier League
๐Ÿ“… 25 of November, 2023 – 15:00
๐Ÿ”ต Nottm Forest – Winning probability: 46.44% | Fair line: 2.15
โšช Tied game – Probability of tied match: 16.04% | Fair line: 6.23
๐Ÿ”ด Brighton – Winning probability: 37.52% | Fair line: 2.67
โš– Handicap 1×2: +0.25 Nottm Forest
โšฝ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
โ›ณ Expected corner kicks: 9.25 corner kicks

When the best bet on Nottm Forest x Brighton is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1024927 matches on the database from our soccer prognostics platform, Betfellows, looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Nottm Forest x Brighton

Is it worth betting on Nottm Forest?

๐Ÿ”ต Nottm Forest: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 46.44%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.35. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 460 times – profiting $1081.00;
  • And would lose other 540 times – having a loss of -$540.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of ๐Ÿ’ฐ$541.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

โšช draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 16.04%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.70. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 160 times – this would give you a profit of $432.00
  • And would have lost other 840 times – with a loss of -$840.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$408.00.

Is betting on Brighton worth it?

๐Ÿ”ด Brighton: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 37.52% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.08. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 380 times – this would give you a profit of $410.40
  • And would lose other 620 times – losing -$620.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$209.60.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Handicaps analysis for the match Nottm Forest x Brighton

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

โš– Handicap 1×2: +0.25 Nottm Forest
โšฝ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Nottm Forest x Brighton

โš– Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be +0.25 Nottm Forest, and the current handicap offered by bookies is +0.5 Nottm Forest.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: +0.5 Nottm Forest.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Nottm Forest x Brighton

โšฝ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.75 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.75 goals. As the handicap available on the market is the same as that indicated by our robot, we will do nothing since there is not value bets on the Goals Handicap market.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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