Nottm Forest x Manchester City Betting tips for December 27 in England Premier League

Our betting tip for Nottm Forest x Manchester City, Saturday, 27/12/2025

📅 27/12/2025 12:30

Nottm Forest 5.00

X 4.20

Manchester City 1.60

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Nottm Forest x Manchester City:

🔮 Manchester City wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Manchester City, you can win up to $800.00!

Make this bet on Bet365 now!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com 

Important information for your tip for Nottm Forest x Manchester City:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Nottm Forest in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $114.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Manchester City in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $194.0.
👉 In the last 5 matches as the away team, Manchester City scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 4 head-to-head matches between Nottm Forest x Manchester City, with Nottm Forest as the home team, they finished under 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 5 Manchester City matches as the away team, it finished over 2.5 goals.
👉 Manchester City is hard to beat as a visitor: it has 3 wins in a row in its last road matches.

🤖 Critical insight from ChatGPT on the prediction for Nottm Forest vs Manchester City:

Lets analyze the match between Nottingham Forest and Manchester City at City Ground, the traditional Forest stadium, which gives the home team the advantage of playing on their turf.

📊 Recent statistics show that Nottingham Forest has a decent home performance, averaging 2 goals scored and 1 conceded per game. In the last 5 Premier League home matches, they won 3, drew 1, and lost only once. Manchester City, on the other hand, has impressive away stats: an average of 3 goals scored and 2 conceded per game, with an unbeaten streak in the last five league matches (5 wins). Additionally, City dominates possession (60%) even when playing away.

⚽ The median odds clearly favor Manchester City (1.6), while Nottingham Forests victory is around 5.0 and the draw about 4.2-4.3.

🔍 Calculating the implied probabilities from the median odds gives us:

• Forest win: 20% (1/5)
• Draw: ~23.8% (1/4.2)
• City win: ~62.5% (1/1.6)

Normalizing these to total 100%, we get:

• Forest: ~18.9%
• Draw: ~22.4%
• City: ~58.7%

Looking at offensive and defensive stats along with recent news — where Nottingham Forest is trying to strengthen midfield after key losses like Ibrahim Sangaré due to the African Cup of Nations — its clear they will face difficulties against a strong squad led by Erling Haaland.

The league position supports this analysis 📈: Manchester City is fighting for the title close behind Arsenal; thus, they need to keep their winning streak to secure crucial points in the final stretch, while Nottingham fights to escape relegation.

However 📰 recent reports indicate that despite recent difficulties — including significant injuries — there is optimism about defensive improvements under Sean Dyche; but this will hardly be enough against such a potent attack as the Citizens.

Based on this, my fair probability estimates are approximately:

• Forest victory: about 19%
• Draw: about 23%
• City victory: about 58%

And the fair odds would be roughly:

• Forest: ~5.26
• Draw: ~4.35
• City: ~1.72

Analyzing the expected values using the final market odds versus my fair odds:
– Forest win EV negative
– Draw EV negative
– City win EV positive (~21%) as also indicated by the Clube da Aposta model.

The models suggested bet is clearly on Manchester City with a positive expected value (+21%). I fully agree! The visiting team has better individual and collective technical quality, plus the urgent need for points in the top of the table.
Betting on Manchester City here is a safe choice based on this analysis! ⚽🔥

Final summary:
Manchester City is the absolute favorite playing against a Nottingham trying to establish a solid defense but still limited offensively without their key players.
Statistics confirm the visitors dominance both offensively and positionally.
Current odds reflect this reality well but only offer real value on the visitors side.
💰 My tip is to bet on Manchester Citys victory!

Looking for more options of bookmakers for your bet on Nottm Forest x Manchester City?

If you want to take a look at more options of betting websites, we, from the Clube, have listed our favorites for you. Right below you can check the best kenyan betting sites from 2025, carefully analysed by us. Pick yours and start betting now on Nottm Forest x Manchester City:

Analysis from Nottm Forest x Manchester City for the England Premier League – 27 of December

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Nottm Forest and Manchester City.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1456309 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Latest news about Nottm Forest x Manchester City

Nottingham Forest: Nottingham Forest has been in the headlines recently both for on-field results and off-field activities. On December 22, 2025, the club suffered a 1-0 home defeat to Fulham, with a late penalty scored by Raúl Jiménez deciding the match, and coach Sean Dyche lamenting the lack of chances created by his team. Despite the defeat, the team was praised for a more confident style of play under Dyches management, especially after restoring the defensive duo of Nathaniel Murillo and Nikola Milenković, which generated optimistic predictions of a climb up the Premier League table. In the January transfer window, Forest remains active, aiming for a defensive or box-to-box midfielder to strengthen the midfield that lost Ibrahim Sangaré to the Africa Cup of Nations, as well as seeking alternatives for the left-back position while Oleksandr Zinchenko continues recovering from injury; the clubs loan contract for Douglas Luiz with Juventus will only become permanent if game limits are met. Additionally, the club prepares for the summer departure of players Angus Gunn and Willy Boly, whose contracts are ending.

Manchester City: Manchester City entered the festive period on a good streak, defeating West Ham 3-0 on December 20 and temporarily reclaiming the Premier League lead from Arsenal. However, Pep Guardiola warned that the teams current level of play is still below what is needed to secure the title, calling for tighter control, better defensive positioning, and more consistency in the coming weeks. While the club continues to be the focus of numerous transfer rumors—including speculation about Bournemouth winger Antoine Semenyo joining the squad—Guardiola indicated there is no urgent need for big spending in January, as the current squad, led by the prolific performance of Erling Haaland, is expected to carry the team through to the end of the season.

Table analysis for the match between Nottm Forest x Manchester City

Nottm Forest: The team is in 17th position, close to the relegation zone, with 18 points. Every game is crucial to avoid dropping, especially against a strong opponent like Manchester City. A win could be vital to earn important points and try to surpass teams at the bottom of the table, thus securing Premier League safety. Therefore, this game is extremely important for Nottm Forest.

Manchester City: Sitting in 2nd place with 37 points, Manchester City is firmly in the title race, just 2 points behind the leader Arsenal. Every point counts in this final stretch to secure the leadership and direct qualification to the Champions League. Facing Nottm Forest is an opportunity to keep pressure on top of the table and gather essential points to win the title. The game is crucial for Manchester City.

Summary: This match is very important for both teams: for Nottm Forest, a chance to escape relegation; for Manchester City, an opportunity to stay strong in the title race. A game full of emotions and dedication from both sides! ⚽🔥

Tips for the Match Odds market for Nottm Forest x Manchester City

Should you bet on Nottm Forest?

🔵 Nottm Forest: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 9.73%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 5.00. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would have hit 100 times – having a profit of $400.00;
• And would have lost other 900 times – with a loss of -$900.00 because of them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$500.00.

Should you bet on draw?

⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 13.6% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 4.20. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 140 times – profiting $448.00;
• And would lose other 860 times – having a loss of -$860.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$412.00.

Should you bet on Manchester City?

🔴 Manchester City: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 76.67% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.60. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 770 times – having a profit of $462.00;
• And would lose other 230 times – having a loss of -$230.00 with them.

It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of 💰$232.00.

Handicaps analysis for the match Nottm Forest x Manchester City

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: +1.0 Nottm Forest
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Nottm Forest x Manchester City

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be +1.0 Nottm Forest, and the current handicap offered by bookies is +1.0 Nottm Forest.

The handicap that our algorithm found is the same as the bookies, which means that there is not any value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Nottm Forest x Manchester City

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.75 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.75 goals. As the handicap available on the market is the same as that indicated by our robot, we will do nothing since there is not value bets on the Goals Handicap market.