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Home » Predictions » English Premier League » Nottm Forest x Tottenham Betting tips for December 14 in England Premier League
Sunday, 14 December 2025, 14h00 England Premier League
Nottm Forest Nottm Forest
PREDICTION Nottm Forest wins Probability 51% 1 X 2
Tottenham Tottenham
ODD: @2.35
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Nottm Forest x Tottenham Betting tips for December 14 in England Premier League

Our betting tip for Nottm Forest x Tottenham, Sunday, 14/12/2025
📅 14/12/2025
14:00
Nottm Forest Nottm Forest
2.35
X
3.40
Tottenham Tottenham
2.90

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Nottm Forest x Tottenham:

🔮 Nottm Forest wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Nottm Forest, you can win up to $1175.00!

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Some important points for the tip for Nottm Forest x Tottenham:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Nottm Forest in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $114.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Tottenham in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-190.0.
👉 In the last 3 matches as the away team, Tottenham scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 4 head-to-head matches between Nottm Forest x Tottenham, with Nottm Forest as the home team, they finished under 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 3 Tottenham matches as the away team, it finished over 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 4 matches as the away team, Tottenham conceded at least 2 goal(s).

🤖 Critical analysis from ChatGPT on our prediction for Nottm Forest vs Tottenham:

Lets analyze the match between Nottingham Forest and Tottenham at City Ground, Forests traditional stadium, which offers a natural advantage to the home team. ⚽

📈 Nottingham Forest has shown a decent performance at home, averaging 2 goals scored per game and 1 conceded, along with a good shot average (16 per game) and balanced ball possession (51%). Tottenham, on the other hand, struggles away, conceding more goals (3 on average) than they score (2), with fewer shots and lower possession (45%). This suggests Forest can leverage their home advantage to press effectively.

📰 Recent news indicates Nottingham Forest has been dealing with controversial refereeing after a loss to Everton but achieved an important victory in the Europa League. Tottenham is riding high after a convincing win in the Champions League and maintains good morale under coach Postecoglou. However, the absence of defender Van de Ven could weaken their defense.

Analyzing the median odds: Forest win 2.35; Draw 3.4; Tottenham win 2.9. Converting to normalized implied probabilities: about 42% for Forest win; 29% draw; 29% for Spurs win.

Considering recent offensive/defensive stats and the clear home advantage at City Ground — where theyve played since 1898 — my adjusted fair probability estimates are roughly:

  • Nottingham Forest win: ~45%
  • Draw: ~28%
  • Tottenham win: ~27%

Thus, fair odds would be:

  • Nottingham Forest: ~2.22
  • Draw: ~3.57
  • Tottenham: ~3.70

Comparing these with the final odds shows good value betting on the home team (final odds higher than my fair odds), while draw and away options seem undervalued by bookmakers.

Using these adjusted odds for expected value calculations, only the bet on Nottingham Forests victory shows a positive EV above +5% — indicating this is the best value bet! 💰🔥

Final analysis:
The Bets Kenya model suggests negative bets on all options (-1% or worse). I disagree with this pessimistic view of the home team because the data indicates strong offensive potential combined with the favorable historic stadium factor.
My recommendation is to bet on Nottingham Forests victory at City Ground, as there is clear value in this option based on my detailed analysis of recent stats and current team news.

Take advantage of this opportunity! 🍀⚽️ #PremierLeague #NottinghamForest #Tottenham #SportsBetting

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Summary

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Analysis from Nottm Forest x Tottenham for the England Premier League – 14 of December

🏟️ Nottm Forest X Tottenham – England Premier League
📅 14 of December, 2025 – 14:00
🔵 Nottm Forest – Winning probability: 51.58% | Fair line: 1.94
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 24.40% | Fair line: 4.1
🔴 Tottenham – Winning probability: 24.02% | Fair line: 4.16
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Nottm Forest
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.75 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Nottm Forest x Tottenham right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1452657 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Latest news about Nottm Forest x Tottenham

Nottingham Forest: Nottingham Forest recently suffered a home defeat of 3-0 to Everton, a match that caused controversy after the club filed a formal complaint with Professional Game Match Officials Limited, arguing that the shoulder charge by Everton defender James Tarkowski on Dan Ndoye in the 11th minute should have been punished with a red card; the incident was reviewed by VAR, but no action was taken. Despite the setback in the Premier League, Forest secured a vital 2-1 away victory against Utrecht in the Europa League on December 11, 2025, with super substitute Igor Jesus scoring the winning goal to keep their hopes of a top-eight finish in the European competition alive.

Tottenham Hotspur: Tottenham Hotspur has shown good performance, achieving a 3-0 victory in the Champions League over Slavia Prague on December 10, 2025, with an early own goal by David Zima and penalties converted by Mohammed Kudus and Xavi Simons, a win that lifted them to ninth place in the competition and kept them just one point behind Liverpool for a top-eight spot as they prepare for the last two group stage matches against Borussia Dortmund and Eintracht Frankfurt; they entered the Dortmund match on January 20 without defender Micky van de Ven, suspended after a yellow card for elbowing, and coach Ange Postecoglou praised the teams momentum after a previous 2-0 Premier League win over Brentford, in which Xavi Simons scored and assisted, while midfielder James Maddison spoke positively about his relationship with Postecoglou after recent performances.

Table analysis for the match between Nottm Forest and Tottenham

Nottm Forest: This match is very important for Nottm Forest, which is in 17th place with 15 points, just above the relegation zone. With only 2 points advantage over the first team in the drop zone (West Ham, with 13 points), a victory could mean a crucial breather in the final stretch of the season. The pressure to avoid relegation makes this game a critical battle for Forest, which needs to earn points to distance itself from danger and secure its stay in the Premier League.

Tottenham: Tottenham is in 11th place with 22 points, far from the relegation zone but also distant from the spots for international competitions. Although not threatened by relegation, the team has the opportunity to approach the zone that guarantees a spot in European tournaments (currently, 7th place, Everton, has 24 points). Therefore, this game is reasonably important for Tottenham to seek a better position in the table and push towards the G7, strengthening its performance in the championship.

Summary: The match is very important for Nottm Forest, which fights to stay out of the relegation zone, while for Tottenham it is relevant to try to climb the table and seek spots in European competitions. Thus, we can say that the game is significant for both teams, with greater pressure on Nottm Forest.

Tips for the 1×2 market for Nottm Forest x Tottenham

Should you bet on Nottm Forest?

🔵 Nottm Forest: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 51.58%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.35. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 520 times – this would give you a profit of $702.00
  • And would lose other 480 times – having a loss of -$480.00 with them.

That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of 💰$222.00.

Is betting on draw worth it?

draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 24.4% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.40. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 240 times – profiting $576.00;
  • And would lose other 760 times – having a loss of -$760.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$184.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on Tottenham?

🔴 Tottenham: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 24.02% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.90. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 240 times – this would give you a profit of $456.00
  • And would lose other 760 times – having a loss of -$760.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$304.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Nottm Forest x Tottenham

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Nottm Forest
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Nottm Forest x Tottenham

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.25 Nottm Forest, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.25 Nottm Forest.

Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Nottm Forest x Tottenham

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.75 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.50 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.50 goals.

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Written by
Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves