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Home ยป Predictions ยป English Premier League ยป Nottm Forest x Wolverhampton Betting tips for August 31 in England Premier League
Saturday, 31 August 2024, 11h00 England Premier League
Nottm Forest Nottm Forest
PREDICTION Nottm Forest wins Probability 51% 1 X 2
Wolverhampton Wolverhampton
ODD: @2 Don't miss this prediction!

Nottm Forest x Wolverhampton Betting tips for August 31 in England Premier League

Our betting tip for Nottm Forest x Wolverhampton, Saturday, 31/8/2024
๐Ÿ“… 31/8/2024
11:00
Nottm Forest Nottm Forest
2.00
X
3.60
Wolverhampton Wolverhampton
3.58

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Nottm Forest x Wolverhampton:

๐Ÿ”ฎ Nottm Forest wins the match
๐Ÿ’ฐ When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Nottm Forest, you can win up to $1000.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

Important information for your tip for Nottm Forest x Wolverhampton:

๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Nottm Forest in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-335.0.
๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Wolverhampton in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-500.
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 3 matches as the home team against Wolverhampton, Nottm Forest scored at least 1 goal(s).
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 3 Nottm Forest matches as the home team, it finished under 2.5 goals.
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 6 matches as the away team, Wolverhampton conceded at least 2 goal(s).
๐Ÿ‘‰ Playing as the home team, Nottm Forest conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 5 head-to-head against Wolverhampton.
๐Ÿ‘‰ Nottm Forest has not lost any of the last 3 head-to-head matches against Wolverhampton playing at home.
๐Ÿ‘‰ It is not a good time for Wolverhampton as away team: it comes from 5 losses in a row in its last away matches.

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Summary

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Analysis from Nottm Forest x Wolverhampton for the England Premier League – 31 of August

๐ŸŸ๏ธ Nottm Forest X Wolverhampton – England Premier League
๐Ÿ“… 31 of August, 2024 – 11:00
๐Ÿ”ต Nottm Forest – Winning probability: 51.82% | Fair line: 1.93
โšช Tied game – Probability of tied match: 21.72% | Fair line: 4.6
๐Ÿ”ด Wolverhampton – Winning probability: 26.46% | Fair line: 3.78
โš– Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Nottm Forest
โšฝ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
โ›ณ Expected corner kicks: 9.00 corner kicks

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Nottm Forest and Wolverhampton.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1170907 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Nottm Forest x Wolverhampton

Is it worth betting on Nottm Forest?

๐Ÿ”ต Nottm Forest: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 51.82% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.00. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 520 times – this would give you a profit of $520.00
  • And would lose other 480 times – losing -$480.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of ๐Ÿ’ฐ$40.00.

Should you bet on draw?

โšช draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 21.72%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.60. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 220 times – profiting $572.00;
  • And would lose other 780 times – having a loss of -$780.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$208.00.

Is it worth betting on Wolverhampton?

๐Ÿ”ด Wolverhampton: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 26.46%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.58. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 260 times – profiting $670.80;
  • And would lose other 740 times – having a loss of -$740.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$69.20.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Nottm Forest x Wolverhampton

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

โš– Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Nottm Forest
โšฝ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Nottm Forest x Wolverhampton

โš– Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.5 Nottm Forest, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.5 Nottm Forest.

Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Nottm Forest x Wolverhampton

โšฝ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.75 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.50 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.50 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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