Clube da Aposta Clube da Aposta menu  
What would you like to find?
fundo 1
free bonus kenya betting
Home » Predictions » English Premier League » Southampton x Brentford Betting tips for January 4 in England Premier League
Saturday, 04 January 2025, 15h00 England Premier League
Southampton Southampton
PREDICTION Brentford Wins Probability 58% 1 X 2
Brentford Brentford
ODD: @2.37 Don't miss this prediction!

Southampton x Brentford Betting tips for January 4 in England Premier League

Our betting tip for Southampton x Brentford, Saturday, 4/1/2025
📅 4/1/2025
15:00
Southampton Southampton
2.86
X
3.45
Brentford Brentford
2.37

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Southampton x Brentford:

🔮 Brentford wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Brentford, you can win up to $1185.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

Important information for your tip for Southampton x Brentford:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Southampton in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-500.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Brentford in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-500.
👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team, Southampton conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 Playing as the home team, Southampton conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 3 head-to-head against Brentford.
👉 It is not a good time for Southampton as home team: it comes from 5 losses in a row in its last home matches.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Summary

Do you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Southampton x Brentford?

If you already have an account on Bet365 or want other options of bookmakers, do not worry! This list below was carefully created taking you into consideration. These are the best betting sites analysed by us in 2025. You just have to click, deposit and bet:

Analysis from Southampton x Brentford for the England Premier League – 4 of January

🏟️ Southampton X Brentford – England Premier League
📅 4 of January, 2025 – 15:00
🔵 Southampton – Winning probability: 20.90% | Fair line: 4.78
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 20.25% | Fair line: 4.94
🔴 Brentford – Winning probability: 58.85% | Fair line: 1.7
⚖ Handicap 1×2: 0.0 Southampton
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 10.00 corner kicks

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Southampton and Brentford.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1241796 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Southampton x Brentford

Is it worth betting on Southampton?

🔵 Southampton: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 20.9%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.86. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 210 times – having a profit of $390.60;
  • And would have lost other 790 times – with a loss of -$790.00 because of them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$399.40.

Is betting on draw worth it?

draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 20.25% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.45. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 200 times – having a profit of $490.00;
  • And would lose other 800 times – losing -$800.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$310.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on Brentford?

🔴 Brentford: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 58.85% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.37. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 590 times – having a profit of $808.30;
  • And would lose other 410 times – losing -$410.00 with them.

It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of 💰$398.30.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Handicaps analysis for the match Southampton x Brentford

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: 0.0 Southampton
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Southampton x Brentford

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 0.0 Southampton, and the current handicap offered by bookies is +0.25 Southampton.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: +0.25 Southampton.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Southampton x Brentford

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.00 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 3.00 goals.

Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Goals Handicap market.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
Newsletter
Newsletter

Receba o melhor conteúdo sobre Apostas Esportivas On-line direto na sua caixa de email

There is a problem with this PHP insert: missing both parameters