Southampton x Crystal Palace Betting tips for April 2 in England Premier League

Our betting tip for Southampton x Crystal Palace, Wednesday, 2/4/2025

📅 2/4/2025 18:45

Southampton 4.80

X 3.95

Crystal Palace 1.67

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Southampton x Crystal Palace:

🔮 Crystal Palace wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Crystal Palace, you can win up to $835.00!

Make this bet on Bet365 now!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com 

Some important points for the tip for Southampton x Crystal Palace: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Southampton in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-500. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Crystal Palace in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $980.0. 👉 Crystal Palace did not concede a goal in the last 6 matches as away team. 👉 In the last 6 matches as the away team, Crystal Palace scored at least 2 goal(s). 👉 In the last 3 Southampton matches as the home team, it finished over 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team, Southampton conceded at least 1 goal(s). 👉 Playing as the home team, Southampton conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 5 head-to-head against Crystal Palace. 👉 Crystal Palace is hard to beat as a visitor: it has 6 wins in a row in its last road matches. 👉 It is not a good time for Southampton as home team: it comes from 5 losses in a row in its last home matches.

Do you want other suggestions of bookmakers to bet on Southampton x Crystal Palace?

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Analysis from Southampton x Crystal Palace for the England Premier League – 2 of April

When the best bet on Southampton x Crystal Palace is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1294623 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Southampton x Crystal Palace

Is betting on Southampton worth it?

🔵 Southampton: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 4.64% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 4.80. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 50 times – profiting $190.00;
• And would have lost other 950 times – with a loss of -$950.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$760.00.

Should you bet on draw?

⚪ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 9.07%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.95. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 90 times – profiting $265.50;
• And would lose other 910 times – having a loss of -$910.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$644.50.

Is it a good idea to bet on Crystal Palace?

🔴 Crystal Palace: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 86.29% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.67. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 860 times – profiting $576.20;
• And would have lost other 140 times – with a loss of -$140.00 because of them.

So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of 💰$436.20.

Handicaps analysis for the match Southampton x Crystal Palace

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: +1.0 Southampton
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Southampton x Crystal Palace

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is +1.0 Southampton and the available handicap to bet at the moment is +0.75 Southampton.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.75 Crystal Palace.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Southampton x Crystal Palace

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.00 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.75 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.75 goals.