Southampton x Wolverhampton Betting tips for March 15 in England Premier League

Our betting tip for Southampton x Wolverhampton, Saturday, 15/3/2025

📅 15/3/2025 15:00

Southampton 3.40

X 3.58

Wolverhampton 2.05

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Southampton x Wolverhampton:

🔮 Tied Match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on a tie, you can win up to $1790.00!

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Important information for your tip for Southampton x Wolverhampton: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Southampton in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-320.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Wolverhampton in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $195.0. 👉 In the last 5 matches as the away team, Wolverhampton scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 4 matches as the home team, Southampton conceded at least 1 goal(s). 👉 It is not a good time for Southampton as home team: it comes from 4 losses in a row in its last home matches.

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Analysis from Southampton x Wolverhampton for the England Premier League – 15 of March

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Southampton x Wolverhampton right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1281364 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Southampton x Wolverhampton

Should you bet on Southampton?

🔵 Southampton: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 14.65% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.40. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 150 times – this would give you a profit of $360.00
• And would lose other 850 times – having a loss of -$850.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$490.00.

Should you bet on draw?

⚪ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 38.72%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.58. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 390 times – having a profit of $1006.20;
• And would have lost other 610 times – with a loss of -$610.00 because of them.

That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of 💰$396.20.

Is it worth betting on Wolverhampton?

🔴 Wolverhampton: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 46.63% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.05. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 470 times – this would give you a profit of $493.50
• And would lose other 530 times – having a loss of -$530.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$36.50.

Handicaps analysis for the match Southampton x Wolverhampton

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.75 Southampton
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Southampton x Wolverhampton

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be +0.75 Southampton, and the current handicap offered by bookies is +0.25 Southampton.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.50, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.25 Wolverhampton.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Southampton x Wolverhampton

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.00 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 3.00 goals.

The handicap that our algorithm found is the same as the bookies, which means that there is not any value to bet on the Goals Handicap market.