Sunderland x Fulham Betting tips for February 22 in England Premier League
| 📅 22/2/2026 14:00 |
 Sunderland2.60 |
X 3.25 |
Fulham  2.70 |
This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Sunderland x Fulham:
🔮 Fulham wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Fulham, you can win up to $1350.00!
Important information for your tip for Sunderland x Fulham:
👉 If you had bet $100 on Sunderland in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-80.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Fulham in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-333.0.
👉 In the last 3 Fulham matches as the away team, it finished over 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 5 matches as the away team, Fulham conceded at least 1 goal(s).
🤖 What’s ChatGPT’s opinion on our prediction for Sunderland vs Fulham?
Lets analyze the match between Sunderland and Fulham at the Stadium of Light, which is Sunderlands official stadium with a capacity of about 49,000 fans, ensuring a strong home advantage for the home team.
📈 Positioning analysis: Although we dont have exact league table data, we know both teams are in a balanced fight in the Premier League. Sunderland has been showing competitiveness and difficulty to beat at home recently, while Fulham displays an organized and mature tactical style away from their home ground. This suggests a very competitive game with both sides clearly needing important points.
📰 Recent news: Sunderland has been praised for its home competitiveness and is also focused on the FA Cup, showing good physical and mental form. Fulham secured a spot in the next FA Cup phase with an away victory and demonstrates tactical maturity in away games. These details reinforce the idea of a balanced game where both teams have quality to seek victory.
Looking at recent stats: Sunderland scored 6 goals in their last 5 home games (average 1.2 goals/game) conceding only 3 (0.6 goals/game), while Fulham scored a similar average away (1 goal/game) but conceded more goals (2 goals/game). Ball possession is balanced: Sunderland averages below (44%) compared to 56% for Fulham; however, this doesnt necessarily indicate greater offensive dominance by the visitor since shots on target are close.
Based on median odds, the approximate implied probabilities are: Sunderland win ~38%, draw ~29%, Fulham win ~37%. Considering Sunderlands better defensive stats at home and their more solid recent defensive record, combined with the very strong home advantage at Stadium of Light, my adjusted estimate would be: Sunderland win ~40%, draw ~28%, Fulham win ~32%.
Thus, the fair odds would be approximately: Sunderland win @2.50; Draw @3.57; Fulham win @3.13.
Comparing with the final odds, the market slightly inflates the home win odds (@2.7 vs fair @2.5), while the draw (@3.25 vs fair @3.57) seems undervalued, as does the away win (@2.7 vs fair @3.13). This creates a positive expected value mainly on bets for the draw or even the away win if some controlled risk is considered due to Fulhams demonstrated tactical maturity away.
However, considering the Bets Kenya model, which indicates a positive expected value for both draw (~5%) and away win (~5%), I partially agree with it, especially given the recent news showing balanced technical/tactical play and the stronger defensive performance of the home team in recent matches.
Final suggestion: Bet on draw, as it offers good expected value (>5%) combined with a high realistic probability given the teams competitiveness; a safe bet in an evenly matched scenario.
An away win could be an interesting speculative bet but less safe due to the strong home advantage.
Avoid betting directly on the home win due to the negative EV indicated by the model, despite the slight statistical edge — the market seems to price this option well without offering significant extra value.
Lets take advantage of this duel with that sure tip! ⚽🔥
Looking for another bookie to bet on Sunderland x Fulham?
If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Sunderland x Fulham, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2026. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:
Analysis from Sunderland x Fulham for the England Premier League – 22 of February
🏟️ Sunderland X Fulham – England Premier League
📅 22 of February, 2026 – 14:00
🔵 Sunderland – Winning probability: 27.29% | Fair line: 3.66
⚪ Tied game – Probability of tied match: 31.41% | Fair line: 3.18
🔴 Fulham – Winning probability: 41.30% | Fair line: 2.42
⚖ Handicap 1×2: 0.0 Sunderland
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.00 corner kicks
Latest news about Sunderland x Fulham
Sunderland: Sunderland is currently competing in the Premier League and has been drawn to play at home against Fulham in the fifth round of the FA Cup, scheduled for early March. The upcoming league match against Fulham is also highlighted as a very balanced duel, with Sunderland praised for being well-trained, competitive, and hard to beat on their own ground.
Fulham: Fulham recently secured a spot in the fifth round of the FA Cup by defeating Stoke City 2-1 at the bet365 Stadium on February 15, 2026, thanks to a decisive goal by Harrison Reed in the final minutes after an initial draw scored by Kevin Koch; the match featured standout performances from Antonee Robinson on the left flank and Benjamin Lecomte in goal. The Cottagers will host Southampton in the next round, and will also face Sunderland in a Premier League clash soon, with recent analyses pointing to Fulham’s organized and tactically mature style away from home.
Table analysis for the match between Sunderland and Fulham
Sunderland: Sunderland is in 11th place with 36 points, occupying an intermediate zone of the table. The team is not threatened by relegation but is also far from European competition spots. With the matchday advanced, the game against Fulham is an important opportunity to improve the score and climb a few positions, but it is not decisive to secure something bigger this season.
Fulham: Fulham is just behind, in 12th place with 34 points. Like Sunderland, it does not face a direct risk of relegation but is also distant from fighting for Europe. Gaining points against Sunderland is essential to prevent further closeness of the lower teams and to try to reach the upper half of the table, making the game important to maintain a stable performance.
Summary: The match is important for both teams, as it involves a direct fight for positions in the middle of the table, with chances to improve the goal of staying comfortably in the Premier League, even if it is not decisive for titles or relegation.
Analysis of odds and handicap movement for Sunderland x Fulham
One step many punters overlook is analysing the movement of odds and the handicap over time. Doing this gives a clearer idea of market expectations for the match between Sunderland x Fulham.
Check the summary below that compares opening odds with current odds across the main markets: 1X2, handicap and goals.
📊 The odds for Sunderland had a great Raised of 12.24%: the market opened with odds of @2.45 for Sunderland and now the odds are @2.75.
📊 With a variation of 1.56%, the odds for Draw are virtually stable in relation to its opening: the market opened with odds of @3.2 for Draw and now the odds are @3.25.
📊 The odds for Fulham had a slight Decreased of -6.25%: the market opened with odds of @2.8 for Fulham and now the odds are @2.625.
📊 The main handicap is stable: the current handicap of 0.00 for Sunderland is exactly the same from its opening.
📊 The Goal Market remains stable: the current handicap of 2.25 goals is exactly the same from its opening.
Tips for the Match Odds market for Sunderland x Fulham
When the best bet on Sunderland x Fulham is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.
Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1484106 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:
Is it a good idea to bet on Sunderland?
🔵 Sunderland: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 27.29% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.60. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would have hit 270 times – having a profit of $432.00;
- And would lose other 730 times – having a loss of -$730.00 with them.
So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$298.00.
Is betting on draw worth it?
⚪ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 31.41% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.25. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 310 times – profiting $697.50;
- And would lose other 690 times – having a loss of -$690.00 with them.
It is a low stake bet, since after all you would have an final expected profit of just 💰$7.50. Which is not even that worthy considering the risk!
Is betting on Fulham worth it?
🔴 Fulham: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 41.3%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.70. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 410 times – having a profit of $697.00;
- And would lose other 590 times – having a loss of -$590.00 with them.
So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of 💰$107.00.
Handicaps analysis for the match Sunderland x Fulham
Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..
These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: 0.0 Sunderland
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Sunderland x Fulham
⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 0.0 Sunderland and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 0.0 Sunderland.
Since the handicap offered by bookmakers is the same as the one we got with our model, there is not any value bets on the Handicap 1×2 market.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Sunderland x Fulham
⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.50 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.25 goals.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.
FAQs: Frequently asked questions about the prediction for Sunderland x Fulham
Who is the favourite for Sunderland x Fulham?
Based on our calculations, the team most likely to win is Fulham, with an estimated chance of 41.30%. Remember: surprises happen in football!
Who will win: Sunderland or Fulham?
It is important to remember that sports betting offers no guarantees. However, our analysis indicates that Fulham is more likely to win, with an estimated probability of 41.30%. Betting involves risk—bet responsibly!
What are the chances of Sunderland beating Fulham today?
Based on our calculations, in every 100 matches we estimate Sunderland would win about 27 of those against Fulham.
What are the chances of Fulham beating Sunderland today?
From our analysis, in 100 encounters we forecast that Fulham would take victory in roughly 41 of them against Sunderland.
Which team should I bet on: Sunderland or Fulham?
A good bettor always searches for positive expected value bets. Our analysis suggests: Fulham Wins as the best pick, with EV of 8.47%. Bet responsibly and practice sound bankroll management: keep stakes under 2% of your capital!
How much is Sunderland paying today? See what you can win by betting on Sunderland x Fulham:
The odds for Sunderland to beat Fulham today are around 2.60. That means a bet of KSh1000 could return KSh2600.00 if Sunderland wins. Remember betting involves risk and returns are not guaranteed. Bet responsibly!
How much is Fulham paying today? See what you can win by betting on Sunderland x Fulham:
The odds for Fulham to beat Sunderland today are around 2.70. That means a bet of KSh1000 could return KSh2700.00 if Fulham wins. Remember betting involves risk and returns are not guaranteed. Bet responsibly!
