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Home » Predictions » English Premier League » Sunderland x Manchester City Betting tips for January 1 in England Premier League
Thursday, 01 January 2026, 20h00 England Premier League
Sunderland Sunderland
PREDICTION Manchester City Wins Probability 86% 1 X 2
Manchester City Manchester City
ODD: @1.49
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Sunderland x Manchester City Betting tips for January 1 in England Premier League

Our betting tip for Sunderland x Manchester City, Thursday, 1/1/2026
📅 1/1/2026
20:00
Sunderland Sunderland
6.50
X
4.30
Manchester City Manchester City
1.49

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Sunderland x Manchester City:

🔮 Manchester City wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Manchester City, you can win up to $745.00!

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The main points for the tip for Sunderland x Manchester City:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Sunderland in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $160.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Manchester City in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $229.0.
👉 In the last 7 matches as the home team, Sunderland scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 6 matches as the away team, Manchester City scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 6 Manchester City matches as the away team, it finished over 2.5 goals.
👉 Playing as the home team, Sunderland conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 4 head-to-head against Manchester City.
👉 Manchester City is hard to beat as a visitor: it has 4 wins in a row in its last road matches.
👉 Even as a visitor, Manchester City won the last 4 head-to-head matches Sunderland´s territory

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Summary

Looking for another bookie to bet on Sunderland x Manchester City?

If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Sunderland x Manchester City, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2025. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:

Analysis from Sunderland x Manchester City for the England Premier League – 1 of January

🏟️ Sunderland X Manchester City – England Premier League
📅 1 of January, 2026 – 20:00
🔵 Sunderland – Winning probability: 4.10% | Fair line: 24.36
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 8.98% | Fair line: 11.13
🔴 Manchester City – Winning probability: 86.91% | Fair line: 1.15
⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.75 Sunderland
⚽ Expected goals: 3.25 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.50 corner kicks

Tips for the 1×2 market for Sunderland x Manchester City

When the best bet on Sunderland x Manchester City is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1457092 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Is betting on Sunderland worth it?

🔵 Sunderland: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 4.1% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 6.50. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 40 times – having a profit of $220.00;
  • And would lose other 960 times – losing -$960.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$740.00.

Is betting on draw worth it?

draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 8.98% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 4.30. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 90 times – having a profit of $297.00;
  • And would lose other 910 times – having a loss of -$910.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$613.00.

Should you bet on Manchester City?

🔴 Manchester City: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 86.91%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.49. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 870 times – having a profit of $426.30;
  • And would have lost other 130 times – with a loss of -$130.00 because of them.

That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of 💰$296.30.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Sunderland x Manchester City

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.75 Sunderland
⚽ Expected goals: 3.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Sunderland x Manchester City

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is +0.75 Sunderland and the available handicap to bet at the moment is +1.25 Sunderland.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.50, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: +1.25 Sunderland.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Sunderland x Manchester City

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.25 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.75 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.50, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.75 goals.

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Written by
Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves