Tottenham x Arsenal Betting tips for February 22 in England Premier League

Our betting tip for Tottenham x Arsenal, Sunday, 22/2/2026

📅 22/2/2026 16:30

Tottenham 6.00

X 4.00

Arsenal 1.55

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Tottenham x Arsenal:

🔮 Arsenal wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Arsenal, you can win up to $775.00!

Make this bet on Bet365 now!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com 

Some important points for the tip for Tottenham x Arsenal:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Tottenham in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-220.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Arsenal in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-67.0.
👉 In the last 8 matches as the home team, Tottenham scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 4 matches as the away team, Arsenal scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 Playing as the home team, Tottenham conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 3 head-to-head against Arsenal.
👉 In the last 8 road matches, Arsenal has not lost any of them.
👉 Even as a visitor, Arsenal won the last 3 head-to-head matches Tottenham´s territory

🤖 Critical insight from ChatGPT on the prediction for Tottenham vs Arsenal:

Lets analyze the match between Tottenham and Arsenal at Tottenham Hotspur Stadium, a North London classic that promises lots of excitement! ⚽

📊 Recent statistics show that Tottenham has been struggling at home, with only 1 win in their last 5 games at their stadium and an average of goals scored lower than conceded (1.4 goals scored versus 1.6 conceded per game). Meanwhile, Arsenal is very strong away, with only one loss in their last 5 Premier League matches and a higher offensive average (2.4 goals scored versus 0.8 conceded). Additionally, the Gunners dominate possession (56%) and accurate shots (5 per game) even when playing away.

📈 In the league table, the teams situations are quite different: Tottenham is in the danger zone trying to avoid relegation, while Arsenal leads the Premier League with a comfortable advantage. This increases pressure on Spurs to earn important points at home, but also shows that the Gunners have more confidence and quality to control the game.

📰 Recent news: Tottenham recently changed coaches, appointing Igor Tudor as interim after dismissing Thomas Frank — this could cause instability or extra motivation for the team in this decisive derby. On the other hand, Arsenal renewed Bukayo Sakas contract until 2030 and despite criticism for their recent performance against Wolves, they remain firmly in the lead, aiming to maintain momentum to win the title.

Analyzing the median odds provided by betting houses: Tottenhams win is priced at 6.00; draw around 3.98; Arsenals win about 1.55 — clearly reflecting the visitors favoritism.

Based on the normalized implicit probabilities of these odds, we have an approximate fair forecast as follows:

• Tottenham win: ~14%
• Draw: ~21%
• Arsenal win: ~65%

Considering all these factors — recent offensive/defensive stats, league position, and news context — my analysis strongly supports the traditional odds trend: the best bet is on Arsenals victory. They are more defensively consistent away and have a more qualified squad besides leading the league.

The betting model from Bets Kenya also indicates positive value only for the away win (Arsenal), but its predicted probabilities are slightly more conservative than my fair estimates based on detailed analysis presented here.

Final tip: Betting on Arsenals win offers a positive expected value above 5%, making it a safe choice considering all technical and emotional factors involved in this important derby!

Do you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Tottenham x Arsenal?

If you want to take a look at more options of betting websites, we, from the Clube, have listed our favorites for you. Right below you can check the best kenyan betting sites from 2026, carefully analysed by us. Pick yours and start betting now on Tottenham x Arsenal:

Analysis from Tottenham x Arsenal for the England Premier League – 22 of February

Latest news on the match between Tottenham and Arsenal

Tottenham Hotspur: Tottenham Hotspur has sacked Thomas Frank and appointed former Juventus and Lazio coach Igor Tudor as interim manager until the end of the 2025-26 season, with his first game in charge being a North London derby against Arsenal on February 22; the club is currently 16th in the Premier League, five points above the relegation zone, and although former striker Robbie Keane has shown interest in returning as coach, he is not being considered for a temporary role at this time.

Arsenal: Arsenal remains at the top of the Premier League, increasing their lead to five points after a dramatic 2-2 draw against Wolves, where Tom Edozie’s late equalizer canceled out a two-goal lead, drawing criticism from former player Paul Merson, who described the performance as “slow and lazy” and warned of “failure” accusations; despite the setback, the Gunners secured a new long-term contract for star Bukayo Saka, signing a four-year deal that will keep him at the club until 2030, and now face a crucial derby against Tottenham Hotspur on Sunday, followed by a decisive title clash against Manchester City at Etihad on April 18, with pressure mounting to maintain pace and turn the lead into a championship.

Table analysis for the match between Tottenham x Arsenal

Tottenham: Tottenham is currently in 16th place in the table with 29 points, while the relegation zone starts at 18th place with 24 points. The gap to threatened teams is small, making this match very important for them. A victory could move them away from the risk of relegation and improve their position in the table, especially considering that the Premier League is a very balanced championship and every point counts to avoid relegation. Therefore, this game is crucial for Tottenham at this stage of the season.

Arsenal: Arsenal leads the Premier League with 58 points, 5 points ahead of second-placed Manchester City. With a comfortable lead at the top, the match against Tottenham is not decisive for securing the title this round, but every point still matters to maintain the gap and confidence at the top of the table. Additionally, maintaining a positive streak against direct rivals is always important for team morale and confidence. Therefore, for Arsenal, this match has strategic importance and helps consolidate their position in the title race.

Summary: This is a game of significant importance for both teams: crucial for Tottenham in the fight against relegation and strategic for Arsenal to maintain the lead and stay strong in the title race.

How the handicap and odds moved for Tottenham x Arsenal

Before confirming your prediction, it is worth taking a look at how the odds have moved since the market opened. When the market adjusts the price (even slightly) it is usually because money flowed in, new information emerged or the bookmakers recalibrated their risk.

Below you will find a summary comparing opening odds with current odds in the main markets for Tottenham x Arsenal (1X2, handicap and goals).

Tips for the Match Odds market for Tottenham x Arsenal

When the best bet on Tottenham x Arsenal is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1484106 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Should you bet on Tottenham?

🔵 Tottenham: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 13.94% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 6.00. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 140 times – having a profit of $700.00;
• And would lose other 860 times – having a loss of -$860.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$160.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

⚪ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 17.01%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 4.00. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 170 times – having a profit of $510.00;
• And would lose other 830 times – having a loss of -$830.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$320.00.

Should you bet on Arsenal?

🔴 Arsenal: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 69.05% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.55. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would have hit 690 times – having a profit of $379.50;
• And would lose other 310 times – having a loss of -$310.00 with them.

It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of 💰$69.50.

Handicaps analysis for the match Tottenham x Arsenal

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.75 Tottenham
⚽ Expected goals: 3.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Tottenham x Arsenal

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be +0.75 Tottenham, and the current handicap offered by bookies is +1.0 Tottenham.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: +1.0 Tottenham.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Tottenham x Arsenal

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.25 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.75 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.75 goals.

FAQs: Common questions about the tip for Tottenham x Arsenal