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Home » Predictions » English Premier League » Tottenham x Aston Villa Betting tips for November 3 in England Premier League
Sunday, 03 November 2024, 14h00 England Premier League
Tottenham Tottenham
PREDICTION Tottenham wins Probability 65% 1 X 2
Aston Villa Aston Villa
ODD: @1.92 Don't miss this prediction!

Tottenham x Aston Villa Betting tips for November 3 in England Premier League

Our betting tip for Tottenham x Aston Villa, Sunday, 3/11/2024
📅 3/11/2024
14:00
Tottenham Tottenham
1.92
X
3.92
Aston Villa Aston Villa
3.50

Our algorithm has selected this tip for Tottenham x Aston Villa:

🔮 Tottenham wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Tottenham, you can win up to $960.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

Some important points for the tip for Tottenham x Aston Villa:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Tottenham in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $285.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Aston Villa in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $290.0.
👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team, Tottenham scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 6 matches as the away team, Aston Villa scored at least 2 goal(s).
👉 In the last 6 Aston Villa matches as the away team, it finished over 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 3 matches as the away team, Aston Villa conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 Playing as the home team, Tottenham conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 5 head-to-head against Aston Villa.
👉 Tottenham is good playing home: it has 5 wins in a row in its last matches at home.
👉 In the last 6 road matches, Aston Villa has not lost any of them.

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Summary

Looking for more options of bookmakers for your bet on Tottenham x Aston Villa?

If you want to take a look at more options of betting websites, we, from the Clube, have listed our favorites for you. Right below you can check the best kenyan betting sites from 2024, carefully analysed by us. Pick yours and start betting now on Tottenham x Aston Villa:

Analysis from Tottenham x Aston Villa for the England Premier League – 3 of November

🏟️ Tottenham X Aston Villa – England Premier League
📅 3 of November, 2024 – 14:00
🔵 Tottenham – Winning probability: 65.86% | Fair line: 1.52
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 16.05% | Fair line: 6.23
🔴 Aston Villa – Winning probability: 18.09% | Fair line: 5.53
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Tottenham
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 10.75 corner kicks

When the best bet on Tottenham x Aston Villa is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1214487 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Tottenham x Aston Villa

Should you bet on Tottenham?

🔵 Tottenham: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 65.86% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.92. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 660 times – having a profit of $607.20;
  • And would lose other 340 times – having a loss of -$340.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of 💰$267.20.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 16.05% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.92. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 160 times – having a profit of $467.20;
  • And would lose other 840 times – losing -$840.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$372.80.

Is betting on Aston Villa worth it?

🔴 Aston Villa: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 18.09% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.50. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 180 times – this would give you a profit of $450.00
  • And would have lost other 820 times – with a loss of -$820.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$370.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Tottenham x Aston Villa

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Tottenham
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Tottenham x Aston Villa

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.5 Tottenham, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.5 Tottenham.

Since the handicap offered by bookmakers is the same as the one we got with our model, there is not any value bets on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Tottenham x Aston Villa

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.00 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 3.25 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: – 3.25 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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