Tottenham x Leeds Betting tips for May 11 in England Premier League

Our betting tip for Tottenham x Leeds, Monday, 11/5/2026

📅 11/5/2026 19:00

Tottenham 2.02

X 3.70

Leeds 3.45

Our algorithm has selected this tip for Tottenham x Leeds:

🔮 Tottenham wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Tottenham, you can win up to $1010.00!

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Important information for your tip for Tottenham x Leeds:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Tottenham in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-265.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Leeds in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $50.0.
👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team against Leeds, Tottenham scored at least 2 goal(s).
👉 In the last 7 Tottenham matches as the home team, it finished over 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 3 head-to-head matches between Tottenham x Leeds, with Tottenham as the home team, they finished over 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 7 matches as the home team, Tottenham conceded at least 2 goal(s).
👉 In the last 4 matches as the away team, Leeds conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 Tottenham has won all the last 3 matches playing at home against Leeds.

Do you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Tottenham x Leeds?

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Analysis from Tottenham x Leeds for the England Premier League – 11 of May

How the handicap and odds moved for Tottenham x Leeds

One step many punters overlook is analysing the movement of odds and the handicap over time. Doing this gives a clearer idea of market expectations for the match between Tottenham x Leeds.

Check the summary below that compares opening odds with current odds across the main markets: 1X2, handicap and goals.

Tips for the Match Odds market for Tottenham x Leeds

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Tottenham x Leeds right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1541456 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Should you bet on Tottenham?

🔵 Tottenham: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 57.62% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.02. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 580 times – this would give you a profit of $591.60
• And would lose other 420 times – losing -$420.00 with them.

That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of 💰$171.60.

Is betting on draw worth it?

⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 21.52% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.70. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 220 times – this would give you a profit of $594.00
• And would have lost other 780 times – with a loss of -$780.00 because of them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$186.00.

Should you bet on Leeds?

🔴 Leeds: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 20.86%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.45. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 210 times – profiting $514.50;
• And would lose other 790 times – having a loss of -$790.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$275.50.

Handicaps analysis for the match Tottenham x Leeds

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: 0.0 Tottenham
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Tottenham x Leeds

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 0.0 Tottenham, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.25 Tottenham.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.25 Leeds.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Tottenham x Leeds

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.75 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.75 goals.

Since the handicap offered by bookmakers is the same as the one we got with our model, there is not any value bets on the Goals Handicap market.

FAQs: Frequently asked questions about the prediction for Tottenham x Leeds