Tottenham x Nottm Forest Betting tips for March 22 in England Premier League

Our betting tip for Tottenham x Nottm Forest, Sunday, 22/3/2026

📅 22/3/2026 14:15

Tottenham 2.50

X 3.30

Nottm Forest 2.80

Our algorithm has selected this tip for Tottenham x Nottm Forest:

🔮 Tied Match
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Important information for your tip for Tottenham x Nottm Forest:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Tottenham in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-265.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Nottm Forest in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $55.0.
👉 In the last 8 matches as the home team, Tottenham scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 6 matches as the away team, Nottm Forest scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 4 matches as the home team against Nottm Forest, Tottenham scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 5 Tottenham matches as the home team, it finished over 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 5 Nottm Forest matches as the away team, it finished over 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 4 head-to-head matches between Tottenham x Nottm Forest, with Tottenham as the home team, they finished over 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team, Tottenham conceded at least 2 goal(s).
👉 In the last 3 matches as the away team, Nottm Forest conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 Playing as the home team, Tottenham conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 4 head-to-head against Nottm Forest.

🤖 What’s ChatGPT’s opinion on our prediction for Tottenham vs Nottm Forest?

Lets analyze the match between Tottenham and Nottingham Forest at Tottenham Hotspur Stadium, a modern stadium with a large capacity, where Tottenham plays at home.

📈 Table analysis: Tottenham is in 16th place with 30 points, fighting against relegation and coming off a poor streak of six consecutive losses. Nottingham Forest is just behind in 17th place with 29 points, also trying to escape the relegation zone. This proximity in the table indicates both teams face high pressure to win this decisive match.

📰 Recent news: Tottenham faces serious issues such as key injuries (Maddison and Kulusevski), high disciplinary record (four red cards), and a vulnerable defense (high average goals conceded at home). Despite this, they recently managed a morale-boosting draw against Liverpool. Nottingham Forest has shown resilience in the Europa League, reaching the quarter-finals, with no significant injury news. This might give the visiting team a bit more confidence for this tough away game.

Statistical analysis:

• Tottenham scored an average of 1.6 goals per game at home in the last five matches (8 goals/5 games), but conceded many goals (13).
• Tottenhams average possession is low (44%), and they concede more shots than they take.
• Nottm Forest has a balanced offensive-defensive average away: about 1.8 goals per game in the last five away matches and concedes fewer than Tottenhams direct opponent.

Calculation of fair probabilities normalized by median odds:

• P(Tottenham win) = 1/2.5 = 0.4
• P(draw) = 1/3.31 ≈ 0.302
• P(Nottingham Forest win) = 1/2.78 ≈ 0.36

Sum=0.4+0.302+0.36=1.062 → Normalizing:

• P(Tottenham win)=0.4/1.062≈37.7%
• P(draw)=30.2%
• P(Nottm win)=33.9%

Given Tottenhams weak defensive stats at home but the pressure to win combined with Nottingham Forests recent strength away, these estimated probabilities are close to those derived from adjusted median odds.

The Bets Kenya model analysis shows a positive expected value only for a draw (+11%), indicating it considers this result more likely or profitable given the final odds: Tottenham is a slight favorite but with no positive expected value according to the model (-17%).

Final suggestion: Considering both teams delicate position in the table, Tottenhams injuries and recent poor form versus Nottingham Forests strong European performance motivation, I see value in betting on a draw with a positive expected value (>5%). The actual chances are balanced among the three outcomes, but the draw appears undervalued in current odds, offering a good opportunity for a safe bet 🟡⚽️.

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Analysis from Tottenham x Nottm Forest for the England Premier League – 22 of March

Latest news on Tottenham x Nottm Forest

Tottenham Hotspur: Tottenham Hotspur is involved in a relegation battle in the Premier League under the new coach Igor Tudor, sitting 16th with 30 points after 30 matches and having suffered a record streak of six consecutive defeats, including a 5-2 loss to Atlético Madrid in the Champions League Round of 16; recent highlights include a morale-boosting 1-1 draw with Liverpool, a controversial red card for Micky van de Ven against Crystal Palace, which he defended by rejecting claims that the players “shut down,” and defender Cristian Romero dismissing transfer rumors to focus on fighting to stay up, while the squad faces significant injuries to James Maddison and Dejan Kulusevski, a high disciplinary record with four red cards, and a low statistical chance of relegation at 14.9% according to the Opta model.

Nottingham Forest: Nottingham Forest is fighting to escape the Premier League relegation zone, currently 17th with 29 points after 30 matches and having moved out of the bottom three on goal difference after a goalless draw with Fulham, while in Europe they reached the Europa League quarter-finals after a 2-1 victory over FC Midtjylland in Denmark and a 3-0 penalty shootout win, with Morgan Gibbs-White, Ibrahim Sangaré, Neco Williams, and others converting their penalties, motivating coach Vítor Pereira to praise the teams character and depth before the decisive league match against Tottenham, with no significant injury news.

Table analysis for the match between Tottenham x Nottm Forest

Tottenham: Tottenham is on the edge this round, holding 16th place with 30 points — just one point ahead of Nottm Forest. This match is a real final for them, as a victory will help them escape the danger zone and breathe a bit easier, avoiding being too close to relegation. Its a life-or-death game for the home team! ⚠️⚽

Nottm Forest: Nottm Forest is right behind, in 17th place with 29 points, fighting to avoid dropping to the second division. They are in the risk zone, and this clash against Tottenham could be decisive for their survival in the Premier League. Every point gained here is very valuable to move away from the relegation ghost. ⚔️🔥

Summary: This duel is super important for both teams, as they are in a direct fight to escape the relegation zone. The winner can gain momentum to keep fighting in the Premier League, and the outcome of this match promises to shake up the standings. Very high tension game! 🎯🏆

Odds and handicap movements for Tottenham x Nottm Forest

It is always useful to analyse how the odds and the handicap behaved over time. This helps us understand where the betting market is heading and what punters expect for the match between Tottenham x Nottm Forest.

Below you will see a summary that compares the opening odds with the current odds in the main markets: 1X2, handicap and goals.

Tips for the 1×2 market for Tottenham x Nottm Forest

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Tottenham and Nottm Forest.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1503887 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Is betting on Tottenham worth it?

🔵 Tottenham: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 42.73% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.50. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 430 times – having a profit of $645.00;
• And would lose other 570 times – losing -$570.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$75.00.

Is it worth betting on draw?

⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 31.02% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.30. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 310 times – having a profit of $713.00;
• And would lose other 690 times – having a loss of -$690.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of 💰$23.00.

Is betting on Nottm Forest worth it?

🔴 Nottm Forest: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 26.25% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.80. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 260 times – profiting $468.00;
• And would lose other 740 times – losing -$740.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$272.00.

Handicaps analysis for the match Tottenham x Nottm Forest

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.25 Tottenham
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Tottenham x Nottm Forest

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is +0.25 Tottenham and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 0.0 Tottenham.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.0 Nottm Forest.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Tottenham x Nottm Forest

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.00 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.50 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.50, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.50 goals.

FAQs: Common questions about the tip for Tottenham x Nottm Forest