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Home » Predictions » English Premier League » West Ham x Liverpool Betting tips for December 29 in England Premier League
Sunday, 29 December 2024, 17h15 England Premier League
West Ham West Ham
PREDICTION Liverpool Wins Probability 96% 1 X 2
Liverpool Liverpool
ODD: @1.5 Don't miss this prediction!

West Ham x Liverpool Betting tips for December 29 in England Premier League

Our betting tip for West Ham x Liverpool, Sunday, 29/12/2024
📅 29/12/2024
17:15
West Ham West Ham
5.72
X
4.66
Liverpool Liverpool
1.50

Our algorithm has selected this tip for West Ham x Liverpool:

🔮 Liverpool wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Liverpool, you can win up to $750.00!

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Some important points for the tip for West Ham x Liverpool:

👉 If you had bet $100 on West Ham in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-25.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Liverpool in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-34.0.
👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team, West Ham scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 4 matches as the home team against Liverpool, West Ham scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 4 head-to-head matches between West Ham x Liverpool, with West Ham as the home team, they finished over 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team, West Ham conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 Playing as the home team, West Ham conceded at least 2 goal(s) in all the last 5 head-to-head against Liverpool.

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Summary

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Analysis from West Ham x Liverpool for the England Premier League – 29 of December

🏟️ West Ham X Liverpool – England Premier League
📅 29 of December, 2024 – 17:15
🔵 West Ham – Winning probability: 1.33% | Fair line: 75.02
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 1.85% | Fair line: 54.09
🔴 Liverpool – Winning probability: 96.82% | Fair line: 1.03
⚖ Handicap 1×2: +1.75 West Ham
⚽ Expected goals: 3.25 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 10.25 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for West Ham x Liverpool right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1240337 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the Match Odds market for West Ham x Liverpool

Should you bet on West Ham?

🔵 West Ham: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 1.33% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 5.72. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 10 times – having a profit of $47.20;
  • And would lose other 990 times – losing -$990.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$942.80.

Is betting on draw worth it?

draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 1.85% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 4.66. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 20 times – having a profit of $73.20;
  • And would lose other 980 times – losing -$980.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$906.80.

Is betting on Liverpool worth it?

🔴 Liverpool: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 96.82% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.50. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 970 times – profiting $485.00;
  • And would lose other 30 times – having a loss of -$30.00 with them.

So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of 💰$455.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match West Ham x Liverpool

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: +1.75 West Ham
⚽ Expected goals: 3.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for West Ham x Liverpool

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be +1.75 West Ham, and the current handicap offered by bookies is +1.25 West Ham.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.50, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -1.25 Liverpool.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for West Ham x Liverpool

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.25 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 3.25 goals.

The handicap that our algorithm found is the same as the bookies, which means that there is not any value to bet on the Goals Handicap market.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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