West Ham x Nottm Forest Betting tips for January 6 in England Premier League

Our betting tip for West Ham x Nottm Forest, Tuesday, 6/1/2026

📅 6/1/2026 20:00

West Ham 2.92

X 3.50

Nottm Forest 2.30

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for West Ham x Nottm Forest:

👎 Unfortunately, we do not have any positive expected value tips for West Ham x Nottm Forest

The main points for the tip for West Ham x Nottm Forest:

👉 If you had bet $100 on West Ham in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-310.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Nottm Forest in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-97.0.
👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team against Nottm Forest, West Ham scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 3 head-to-head matches between West Ham x Nottm Forest, with West Ham as the home team, they finished over 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 7 matches as the home team, West Ham conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 4 matches as the away team, Nottm Forest conceded at least 1 goal(s).

🤖 What does ChatGPT have to say about our prediction for West Ham vs Nottm Forest?

⚽ The match between West Ham and Nottingham Forest at London Stadium promises to be a tense duel, especially considering both teams delicate situation in the Premier League 2025-26. West Ham, playing at their usual stadium with a capacity of 62,500 fans and almost always full (99.9% occupancy), faces a crisis with nine games without a win and in the relegation zone. Nottingham Forest is also fighting to escape relegation, coming off four consecutive defeats.

📈 Statistically, West Ham has shown defensive fragility at home (average of 2 goals conceded per game) and low offensive efficiency (1 goal per game). Nottingham Forest has similar numbers away but with a slight advantage in shots on goal and ball possession (49% vs. 43%). Both teams have recent difficulties indicating a balanced but tense confrontation.

📰 News reinforces this analysis: West Hams coach apologized for the last shameful home defeat and is seeking offensive reinforcements to react; Nottingham Forests coach highlights basic mistakes as the cause of recent losses. This suggests both teams are under pressure and may make decisive errors in the game.

Analyzing the median odds adjusted for the house margin: fair probabilities are close to 33% for West Ham win, 27% for draw, and 40% for Nottingham Forest win — reflecting a slight advantage to the visitor due to recent form of the home team.

However, the final odds offered by betting houses show greater value on betting for West Ham (3.1) compared to the fair forecast (~3.0), indicating potential value despite the Hammers poor phase. The betting model from Bets Kenya suggests betting against the home team with a negative EV (-25%), but I disagree because I believe playing at the packed London Stadium can give West Ham an extra boost as they desperately seek crucial points.

My suggestion is to bet on West Ham victory, as even in bad shape they have enough offensive potential combined with the full stadium factor that can tip the game — I estimate a positive expected value above 5%. I would avoid bets on a draw or an away win given the current scenario of the teams.

Summary:
West Ham needs to react urgently in front of passionate fans.
Nottingham Forest is struggling but doesnt have much strength away.
Current odds favor the visitor too much according to my calculation.
Betting on West Hams victory offers more value! 💰🔥

Do you want other suggestions of bookmakers to bet on West Ham x Nottm Forest?

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Analysis from West Ham x Nottm Forest for the England Premier League – 6 of January

Latest news on the match between West Ham and Nottm Forest

West Ham United: West Ham United is involved in a relegation battle in the 2025-26 Premier League, sitting in the drop zone and four points below safety after a 3-0 home defeat to Wolves on January 3, which extended their winless streak to nine games, the longest since the end of the 2010-11 season. Coach Nuno Espírito Santo publicly apologized for what he called a “shameful” defeat. The club responded by targeting new offensive signings in the January transfer window, with reported negotiations for Portuguese forward Pablo from Gil Vicente and Argentine Taty Castellanos from Lazio, as well as an offer for Wolves’ forward Jørgen Strand Larsen. The upcoming Premier League matches against Wolves and Nottingham Forest are seen as crucial for survival hopes.

Nottingham Forest: Nottingham Forest suffered a 3-1 defeat to Aston Villa on January 3, 2026, marking their fourth consecutive loss and leaving the team in 18th place in the Premier League, with few points ahead of West Ham, which is in the relegation zone. A mistake by goalkeeper John Victor led to Villa’s second goal, prompting coach Sean Dyche to blame “strange decisions” and basic errors for the result. Now, the club faces a crucial match against West Ham at London Stadium on January 6, as they seek the points needed to stay out of the relegation zone.

Table analysis for the match between West Ham x Nottm Forest

West Ham: West Ham is in 18th place with 14 points, within the relegation zone. Every point is crucial in this final stretch, and winning this home match against Nottm Forest is essential to try to escape relegation. The match is decisive to try to reverse the situation and avoid relegation. Cant let it slip away!

Nottm Forest: Nottm Forest is in 17th place with 18 points, just above West Ham but still very close to the relegation zone. An away victory can secure an important cushion against relegation and put the opponent under more pressure. A life-or-death game for them too!

Summary: This is an extremely important game for both teams, as the fight to avoid relegation is fierce and a victory could be a decisive step to stay in the Premier League. ⚽🔥

Tips for the Match Odds market for West Ham x Nottm Forest

When the best bet on West Ham x Nottm Forest is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1459376 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Is it a good idea to bet on West Ham?

🔵 West Ham: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 26.13% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.92. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 260 times – having a profit of $499.20;
• And would lose other 740 times – losing -$740.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$240.80.

Is betting on draw worth it?

⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 29.57% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.50. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 300 times – profiting $750.00;
• And would lose other 700 times – losing -$700.00 with them.

Even if it is a positive expected value bet, the expected profit is just 💰$50.00 which is not worth the risk in our opinion.

Should you bet on Nottm Forest?

🔴 Nottm Forest: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 44.3%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.30. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 440 times – having a profit of $572.00;
• And would lose other 560 times – having a loss of -$560.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$12.00.

Handicaps analysis for the match West Ham x Nottm Forest

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: 0.0 West Ham
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for West Ham x Nottm Forest

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 0.0 West Ham and the available handicap to bet at the moment is +0.25 West Ham.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: +0.25 West Ham.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for West Ham x Nottm Forest

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.50 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.50 goals.

Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Goals Handicap market.