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Home » Predictions » English Premier League » Wolverhampton x Nottm Forest Betting tips for January 6 in England Premier League
Monday, 06 January 2025, 20h00 England Premier League
Wolverhampton Wolverhampton
PREDICTION Nottm Forest Wins Probability 51% 1 X 2
Nottm Forest Nottm Forest
ODD: @2.3 Don't miss this prediction!

Wolverhampton x Nottm Forest Betting tips for January 6 in England Premier League

Our betting tip for Wolverhampton x Nottm Forest, Monday, 6/1/2025
📅 6/1/2025
20:00
Wolverhampton Wolverhampton
2.90
X
3.40
Nottm Forest Nottm Forest
2.30

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Wolverhampton x Nottm Forest:

🔮 Nottm Forest wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Nottm Forest, you can win up to $1150.00!

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The main points for the tip for Wolverhampton x Nottm Forest:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Wolverhampton in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $113.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Nottm Forest in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $540.0.
👉 In the last 7 matches as the home team, Wolverhampton scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 3 matches as the away team, Nottm Forest scored at least 2 goal(s).
👉 In the last 5 head-to-head matches between Wolverhampton x Nottm Forest, with Wolverhampton as the home team, they finished under 2.5 goals.
👉 Nottm Forest is hard to beat as a visitor: it has 3 wins in a row in its last road matches.

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Summary

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Analysis from Wolverhampton x Nottm Forest for the England Premier League – 6 of January

🏟️ Wolverhampton X Nottm Forest – England Premier League
📅 6 of January, 2025 – 20:00
🔵 Wolverhampton – Winning probability: 19.97% | Fair line: 5.01
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 28.09% | Fair line: 3.56
🔴 Nottm Forest – Winning probability: 51.95% | Fair line: 1.93
⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.5 Wolverhampton
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.75 corner kicks

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Wolverhampton and Nottm Forest.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1242357 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Wolverhampton x Nottm Forest

Should you bet on Wolverhampton?

🔵 Wolverhampton: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 19.97%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.90. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 200 times – this would give you a profit of $380.00
  • And would lose other 800 times – losing -$800.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$420.00.

Should you bet on draw?

draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 28.09% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.40. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 280 times – having a profit of $672.00;
  • And would have lost other 720 times – with a loss of -$720.00 because of them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$48.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on Nottm Forest?

🔴 Nottm Forest: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 51.95%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.30. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 520 times – profiting $676.00;
  • And would lose other 480 times – having a loss of -$480.00 with them.

So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of 💰$196.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Wolverhampton x Nottm Forest

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.5 Wolverhampton
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Wolverhampton x Nottm Forest

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is +0.5 Wolverhampton and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 0.0 Wolverhampton.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.0 Nottm Forest.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Wolverhampton x Nottm Forest

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.00 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.75 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.75 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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