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Home » Predictions » English Premier League » Wolverhampton x Southampton Betting tips for November 9 in England Premier League
Saturday, 09 November 2024, 15h00 England Premier League
Wolverhampton Wolverhampton
PREDICTION Wolverhampton wins Probability 70% 1 X 2
Southampton Southampton
ODD: @1.95 Don't miss this prediction!

Wolverhampton x Southampton Betting tips for November 9 in England Premier League

Our betting tip for Wolverhampton x Southampton, Saturday, 9/11/2024
📅 9/11/2024
15:00
Wolverhampton Wolverhampton
1.95
X
3.75
Southampton Southampton
3.60

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Wolverhampton x Southampton:

🔮 Wolverhampton wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Wolverhampton, you can win up to $975.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

Important information for your tip for Wolverhampton x Southampton:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Wolverhampton in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-355.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Southampton in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-500.
👉 In the last 6 matches as the home team, Wolverhampton scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 4 Wolverhampton matches as the home team, it finished over 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 4 matches as the home team, Wolverhampton conceded at least 2 goal(s).
👉 In the last 7 matches as the away team, Southampton conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 It is not a good time for Southampton as away team: it comes from 3 losses in a row in its last away matches.

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Summary

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Analysis from Wolverhampton x Southampton for the England Premier League – 9 of November

🏟️ Wolverhampton X Southampton – England Premier League
📅 9 of November, 2024 – 15:00
🔵 Wolverhampton – Winning probability: 70.64% | Fair line: 1.42
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 15.29% | Fair line: 6.54
🔴 Southampton – Winning probability: 14.07% | Fair line: 7.11
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.75 Wolverhampton
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 10.00 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Wolverhampton x Southampton right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1218440 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Wolverhampton x Southampton

Should you bet on Wolverhampton?

🔵 Wolverhampton: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 70.64% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.95. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 710 times – this would give you a profit of $674.50
  • And would lose other 290 times – having a loss of -$290.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of 💰$384.50.

Is betting on draw worth it?

draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 15.29% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.75. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 150 times – this would give you a profit of $412.50
  • And would lose other 850 times – having a loss of -$850.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$437.50.

Is betting on Southampton worth it?

🔴 Southampton: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 14.07% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.60. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 140 times – having a profit of $364.00;
  • And would have lost other 860 times – with a loss of -$860.00 because of them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$496.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Wolverhampton x Southampton

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.75 Wolverhampton
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Wolverhampton x Southampton

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.75 Wolverhampton and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.5 Wolverhampton.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.5 Wolverhampton.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Wolverhampton x Southampton

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.00 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.75 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.75 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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