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Home ยป Predictions ยป Eredivisie ยป Ajax x FC Groningen Betting tips for October 6 in Netherlands Eredivisie
Sunday, 06 October 2024, 11h45 Netherlands Eredivisie
Ajax Ajax
PREDICTION FC Groningen Wins Probability 16% 1 X 2
FC Groningen FC Groningen
ODD: @7.54 Don't miss this prediction!

Ajax x FC Groningen Betting tips for October 6 in Netherlands Eredivisie

Our betting tip for Ajax x FC Groningen, Sunday, 6/10/2024
๐Ÿ“… 6/10/2024
11:45
Ajax Ajax
1.36
X
5.00
FC Groningen FC Groningen
7.54

Our algorithm has selected this tip for Ajax x FC Groningen:

๐Ÿ”ฎ FC Groningen wins the match
๐Ÿ’ฐ When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on FC Groningen, you can win up to $3770.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

Important information for your tip for Ajax x FC Groningen:

๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Ajax in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $87.0.
๐Ÿ‘‰ Ajax did not concede a goal in the last 3 matches as home team.
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 3 matches as the home team, Ajax scored at least 3 goal(s).
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 5 matches as the away team, FC Groningen scored at least 1 goal(s).
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 5 matches as the home team against FC Groningen, Ajax scored at least 2 goal(s).
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 3 Ajax matches as the home team, it finished over 2.5 goals.
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 3 head-to-head matches between Ajax x FC Groningen, with Ajax as the home team, they finished over 2.5 goals.
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 3 matches as the away team, FC Groningen conceded at least 1 goal(s).
๐Ÿ‘‰ Ajax is good playing home: it has 3 wins in a row in its last matches at home.
๐Ÿ‘‰ Ajax has won all the last 5 matches playing at home against FC Groningen.

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Summary

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If you already have an account on Bet365 or want other options of bookmakers, do not worry! This list below was carefully created taking you into consideration. These are the best betting sites analysed by us in 2024. You just have to click, deposit and bet:

Analysis from Ajax x FC Groningen for the Netherlands Eredivisie – 6 of October

๐ŸŸ๏ธ Ajax X FC Groningen – Netherlands Eredivisie
๐Ÿ“… 6 of October, 2024 – 11:45
๐Ÿ”ต Ajax – Winning probability: 72.30% | Fair line: 1.38
โšช Tied game – Probability of tied match: 11.31% | Fair line: 8.84
๐Ÿ”ด FC Groningen – Winning probability: 16.38% | Fair line: 6.1
โš– Handicap 1×2: -1.5 Ajax
โšฝ Expected goals: 3.50 goals
โ›ณ Expected corner kicks: 10.25 corner kicks

When the best bet on Ajax x FC Groningen is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1195226 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Ajax x FC Groningen

Is it worth betting on Ajax?

๐Ÿ”ต Ajax: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 72.3% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.36. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 720 times – profiting $259.20;
  • And would lose other 280 times – losing -$280.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$20.80.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

โšช draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 11.31%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 5.00. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 110 times – this would give you a profit of $440.00
  • And would lose other 890 times – losing -$890.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$450.00.

Is betting on FC Groningen worth it?

๐Ÿ”ด FC Groningen: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 16.38% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 7.54. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 160 times – profiting $1046.40;
  • And would lose other 840 times – losing -$840.00 with them.

That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of ๐Ÿ’ฐ$206.40.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Ajax x FC Groningen

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

โš– Handicap 1×2: -1.5 Ajax
โšฝ Expected goals: 3.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Ajax x FC Groningen

โš– Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -1.5 Ajax and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -1.25 Ajax.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -1.25 Ajax.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Ajax x FC Groningen

โšฝ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.50 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 3.00 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 3.00 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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