Ajax x Feyenoord Betting tips for December 14 in Netherlands Eredivisie
| 📅 14/12/2025 13:30 |
 Ajax2.87 |
X 3.76 |
Feyenoord  2.18 |
This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Ajax x Feyenoord:
🔮 Feyenoord wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Feyenoord, you can win up to $1090.00!
Important information for your tip for Ajax x Feyenoord:
👉 If you had bet $100 on Ajax in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-330.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Feyenoord in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-214.0.
👉 In the last 3 matches as the away team, Feyenoord scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 3 Feyenoord matches as the away team, it finished over 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 4 matches as the away team, Feyenoord conceded at least 1 goal(s).
🤖 Critical insight from ChatGPT on the prediction for Ajax vs Feyenoord:
Lets analyze the match between Ajax and Feyenoord at Johan Cruijff ArenA, Ajaxs home. Despite playing at their stadium, Ajax is going through a tough time: they are far from the Eredivisie leader PSV and have poor performance in the Champions League. Key injuries like Wout Weghorsts impact heavily on the team, which has a low average of goals scored at home (0.8 per game) and concedes more goals than it scores (1.6). Meanwhile, Feyenoord is energized by a strong away offensive phase, with a high average of goals scored (2.6) and more shots on target than the opponent.
Calculating fair odds based on normalized median odds gives approximately 34% for Ajax win, 26% for a draw, and 40% for Feyenoord win. This aligns well with recent stats: the visitor has better real chances given the current form of the teams.
Fair odds considering tactical context and news suggest higher value on Feyenoords victory (~2.4), while the market odds are around 2.15 – still with a positive expected value above 20%. Betting on the visitor is supported by their strong offensive phase against an injured and pressured Ajax.
📰 News confirms this scenario: Ajax suffers from serious injuries and technical instability; Feyenoord shows offensive strength even without some key starters. This boosts confidence in betting on the away team.
📈 In the Eredivisie table, this match is crucial for both teams to recover or maintain good form – especially for Feyenoord, aiming to stay at the top, while Ajax tries to bounce back after consecutive setbacks.
Suggestion: Betting on Feyenoords victory offers a significant positive expected value (+20%), making it a smart choice given the current team conditions! ⚽🔥
Do you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Ajax x Feyenoord?
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Analysis from Ajax x Feyenoord for the Netherlands Eredivisie – 14 of December
🏟️ Ajax X Feyenoord – Netherlands Eredivisie
📅 14 of December, 2025 – 13:30
🔵 Ajax – Winning probability: 20.48% | Fair line: 4.88
⚪ Tied game – Probability of tied match: 16.20% | Fair line: 6.17
🔴 Feyenoord – Winning probability: 63.32% | Fair line: 1.58
⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.5 Ajax
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.50 corner kicks
When the best bet on Ajax x Feyenoord is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.
And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1452657 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:
The latest news about Ajax x Feyenoord
Ajax: Ajax is experiencing a turbulent season, trailing 14 points behind Eredivisie leader PSV and sitting at the bottom of the Champions League group, having failed to earn points in five matches. They finally broke their scoring drought by defeating Qarabag 4-2 away, with two goals from Oscar Gloukh and contributions from Danish forwards. Interim coach Fred Grim is leading the team as the club searches for a new technical director and has been linked to former Malmö coach Henrik Rydström. Injuries have heavily impacted the squad: Steven Berghuis is out with a groin injury, Josip Sutalo, James McConnell, and Jorthy Mokio are unavailable, and Wout Weghorst, who scored Ajax’s only Champions League goal, suffered a serious ankle ligament injury and will be out for the rest of 2025. In the transfer market, Ajax is expected to announce the signing of former Arsenal defender Takehiro Tomiyasu – the second Japanese player at the club after Ko Itakura – and secured Kasper Dolberg from Anderlecht, while several young players (including Tristan Gooijer and Jan Faberski) have been loaned out, and Jorrel Hato transferred to Chelsea.
Feyenoord: Feyenoord has shown strong form in Eredivisie, highlighted by a commanding 6-1 victory over PEC Zwolle, where Japanese forward Ayase Ueda scored four goals and midfielder Quinten Timber had a complete performance, assisting on the second goal, scoring a penalty, and leading the team in shots, big chances, and key passes in the final third. However, the squad faces several absences: Read, Malcolm Jeng, Hwang In-Beom, and Bart Nieuwkoop remain out, and Robin van Persie’s team will also assess the fitness of Jakub Moder, Larin, Shiloh ’t Zand, Gernot Trauner, and Sem Steijn before the next UEFA Europa League match against FCSB on December 11, 2025. Transfer rumors continue, with Arsenal eyeing left-back Quilindschy Hartman, who previously rejected Chelsea in the summer.
Table analysis for the game between Ajax and Feyenoord
Ajax: Ajax is currently in 4th place with 26 points, just 1 point behind NEC in 3rd place and 8 points behind the leader PSV. With a few rounds remaining in the season, this match is very important for Ajax, as a victory could boost their position to a direct spot in more prestigious European competitions, such as the Champions League group stage. Losing points now could mean being limited to the qualifying phase or even being overtaken by nearby teams on the table.
Feyenoord: Feyenoord holds 2nd place with 34 points, 6 points behind PSV and 7 points ahead of the 3rd place team. Although there is a small gap to the leader, this match is crucial for Feyenoord to keep pressure in the title race and secure their direct spot in the Champions League. A positive result against a direct competitor strengthens their chances at the top of the table and keeps immediate rivals at bay.
Summary: The match between Ajax and Feyenoord is of high importance for both teams. Both need the points to secure better positions in the table, ensuring direct qualification to European competitions and, in the case of Feyenoord, keeping the fight for the title alive. It will be a decisive and exciting showdown! ⚽🔥
Tips for the Match Odds market for Ajax x Feyenoord
Is betting on Ajax worth it?
🔵 Ajax: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 20.48%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.87. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 200 times – profiting $374.00;
- And would lose other 800 times – having a loss of -$800.00 with them.
That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$426.00.
Is betting on draw worth it?
⚪ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 16.2%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.76. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 160 times – this would give you a profit of $441.60
- And would have lost other 840 times – with a loss of -$840.00 because of them.
So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$398.40.
Is it worth betting on Feyenoord?
🔴 Feyenoord: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 63.32% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.18. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 630 times – profiting $743.40;
- And would lose other 370 times – having a loss of -$370.00 with them.
It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of 💰$373.40.
Handicaps analysis for the match Ajax x Feyenoord
Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.
Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.5 Ajax
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Ajax x Feyenoord
⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be +0.5 Ajax, and the current handicap offered by bookies is +0.25 Ajax.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.25 Feyenoord.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Ajax x Feyenoord
⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.00 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 3.00 goals.
Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Goals Handicap market.
