Ajax x Fortuna Sittard Betting tips for September 18 in Netherlands Eredivisie

Our betting tip for Ajax x Fortuna Sittard, Wednesday, 18/9/2024

📅 18/9/2024 15:00

Ajax 1.44

X 4.60

Fortuna Sittard 6.50

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Ajax x Fortuna Sittard:

🔮 Ajax wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Ajax, you can win up to $720.00!

Make this bet on Bet365 now!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com 

Important information for your tip for Ajax x Fortuna Sittard: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Ajax in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $37.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Fortuna Sittard in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-33.0. 👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team against Fortuna Sittard, Ajax scored at least 2 goal(s). 👉 In the last 3 Fortuna Sittard matches as the away team, it finished under 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 5 head-to-head matches between Ajax x Fortuna Sittard, with Ajax as the home team, they finished over 2.5 goals. 👉 Ajax has not lost any of the last 5 head-to-head matches against Fortuna Sittard playing at home.

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Analysis from Ajax x Fortuna Sittard for the Netherlands Eredivisie – 18 of September

When the best bet on Ajax x Fortuna Sittard is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1183677 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Ajax x Fortuna Sittard

Should you bet on Ajax?

🔵 Ajax: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 91.35% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.44. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 910 times – this would give you a profit of $400.40
• And would lose other 90 times – having a loss of -$90.00 with them.

That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of 💰$310.40.

Is it worth betting on draw?

⚪ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 5.76% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 4.60. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 60 times – profiting $216.00;
• And would lose other 940 times – having a loss of -$940.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$724.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on Fortuna Sittard?

🔴 Fortuna Sittard: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 2.89% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 6.50. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 30 times – profiting $165.00;
• And would lose other 970 times – losing -$970.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$805.00.

Handicaps analysis for the match Ajax x Fortuna Sittard

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.75 Ajax
⚽ Expected goals: 3.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Ajax x Fortuna Sittard

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -1.75 Ajax and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -1.25 Ajax.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.50, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -1.25 Ajax.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Ajax x Fortuna Sittard

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.25 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 3.00 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 3.00 goals.