Ajax x RKC Betting tips for January 11 in Netherlands Eredivisie

Our betting tip for Ajax x RKC, Saturday, 11/1/2025

📅 11/1/2025 17:45

Ajax 1.12

X 9.10

RKC 17.00

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Ajax x RKC:

🔮 Ajax wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Ajax, you can win up to $560.00!

Make this bet on Bet365 now!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com 

The main points for the tip for Ajax x RKC: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Ajax in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-152.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on RKC in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-500. 👉 In the last 8 matches as the home team, Ajax scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 5 matches as the away team, RKC scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team against RKC, Ajax scored at least 3 goal(s). 👉 In the last 5 head-to-head matches between Ajax x RKC, with Ajax as the home team, they finished over 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 6 matches as the away team, RKC conceded at least 1 goal(s). 👉 Playing as the home team, Ajax conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 3 head-to-head against RKC. 👉 Ajax has won all the last 5 matches playing at home against RKC.

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Analysis from Ajax x RKC for the Netherlands Eredivisie – 11 of January

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Ajax and RKC.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1244516 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Ajax x RKC

Is it worth betting on Ajax?

🔵 Ajax: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 99.64% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.12. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would have hit 1000 times – having a profit of $120.00;
• And would lose other 0 times – having a loss of -$0.00 with them.

It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of 💰$120.00.

Should you bet on draw?

⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 0.31% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 9.10. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 0 times – this would give you a profit of $0.00
• And would lose other 1000 times – losing -$1000.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$1000.00.

Is it worth betting on RKC?

🔴 RKC: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 0.06% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 17.00. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 0 times – this would give you a profit of $0.00
• And would have lost other 1000 times – with a loss of -$1000.00 because of them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$1000.00.

Handicaps analysis for the match Ajax x RKC

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -2.25 Ajax
⚽ Expected goals: 3.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Ajax x RKC

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -2.25 Ajax and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -2.5 Ajax.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 2.5 RKC.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Ajax x RKC

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.25 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 3.75 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.50, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: – 3.75 goals.