Almere City FC x NEC Betting tips for October 25 in Netherlands Eredivisie

Our betting tip for Almere City FC x NEC, Friday, 25/10/2024

📅 25/10/2024 18:00

Almere City FC 3.05

X 3.61

NEC 2.17

Our algorithm has selected this tip for Almere City FC x NEC:

🔮 NEC wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on NEC, you can win up to $1085.00!

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Or access: https://www.bet365.com 

Important information for your tip for Almere City FC x NEC: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Almere City FC in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-500. 👉 If you had bet $100 on NEC in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $55.0. 👉 In the last 3 head-to-head matches between Almere City FC x NEC, with Almere City FC as the home team, they finished over 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team, Almere City FC conceded at least 1 goal(s). 👉 Playing as the home team, Almere City FC conceded at least 4 goal(s) in all the last 3 head-to-head against NEC. 👉 Even as a visitor, NEC won the last 3 head-to-head matches Almere City FC´s territory

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Analysis from Almere City FC x NEC for the Netherlands Eredivisie – 25 of October

When the best bet on Almere City FC x NEC is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1207748 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Almere City FC x NEC

Is it a good idea to bet on Almere City FC?

🔵 Almere City FC: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 22.35% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.05. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 220 times – profiting $451.00;
• And would have lost other 780 times – with a loss of -$780.00 because of them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$329.00.

Is betting on draw worth it?

⚪ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 29.6%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.61. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would have hit 300 times – having a profit of $783.00;
• And would lose other 700 times – having a loss of -$700.00 with them.

Although this bet has some value, notice that the expected profit is just 💰$83.00, which is not worth the risk in our point of view.

Is it worth betting on NEC?

🔴 NEC: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 48.05%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.17. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 480 times – profiting $561.60;
• And would have lost other 520 times – with a loss of -$520.00 because of them.

So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of 💰$41.60.

Handicaps analysis for the match Almere City FC x NEC

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.5 Almere City FC
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Almere City FC x NEC

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be +0.5 Almere City FC, and the current handicap offered by bookies is +0.25 Almere City FC.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.25 NEC.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Almere City FC x NEC

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.75 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.75 goals.

The handicap that our algorithm found is the same as the bookies, which means that there is not any value to bet on the Goals Handicap market.