Almere City FC x Willem II Betting tips for October 4 in Netherlands Eredivisie
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4/10/2024 15:00 |
 Almere City FC2.85 |
X 3.35 |
Willem II  2.42 |
This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Almere City FC x Willem II:
๐ฎ Tied Match
๐ฐ When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on a tie, you can win up to $1675.00!
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The main points for the tip for Almere City FC x Willem II: ๐ If you had bet $100 on Almere City FC in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-280.0. |
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Analysis from Almere City FC x Willem II for the Netherlands Eredivisie – 4 of October
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๐๏ธ Almere City FC X Willem II – Netherlands Eredivisie |
Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Almere City FC x Willem II right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.
Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1194241 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:
Tips for the 1×2 market for Almere City FC x Willem II
Is betting on Almere City FC worth it?
๐ต Almere City FC: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 27.59% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.85. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 280 times – profiting $518.00;
- And would have lost other 720 times – with a loss of -$720.00 because of them.
Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of ๐ฐ-$202.00.
Is it worth betting on draw?
โช draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 33.22%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.35. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 330 times – this would give you a profit of $775.50
- And would lose other 670 times – having a loss of -$670.00 with them.
That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of ๐ฐ$105.50.
Is it worth betting on Willem II?
๐ด Willem II: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 39.19%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.42. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 390 times – profiting $553.80;
- And would have lost other 610 times – with a loss of -$610.00 because of them.
Although this bet has some value, notice that the expected profit is just ๐ฐ$56.20, which is not worth the risk in our point of view.
Handicaps analysis for the match Almere City FC x Willem II
The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.
These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:
โ Handicap 1×2: +1.0 Almere City FC
โฝ Expected goals: 3.00 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Almere City FC x Willem II
โ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is +1.0 Almere City FC and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 0.0 Almere City FC.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 1.00. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.0 Willem II.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Almere City FC x Willem II
โฝ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.00 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.50 goals.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.50, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.50 goals.
