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Home » Predictions » Eredivisie » AZ x Ajax Betting tips for December 8 in Netherlands Eredivisie
Sunday, 08 December 2024, 13h30 Netherlands Eredivisie
AZ AZ
PREDICTION Ajax Wins Probability 58% 1 X 2
Ajax Ajax
ODD: @2.33 Don't miss this prediction!

AZ x Ajax Betting tips for December 8 in Netherlands Eredivisie

Our betting tip for AZ x Ajax, Sunday, 8/12/2024
📅 8/12/2024
13:30
AZ AZ
2.80
X
3.60
Ajax Ajax
2.33

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for AZ x Ajax:

🔮 Ajax wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Ajax, you can win up to $1165.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

Some important points for the tip for AZ x Ajax:

👉 If you had bet $100 on AZ in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-74.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Ajax in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $272.0.
👉 In the last 9 matches as the home team, AZ scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team against Ajax, AZ scored at least 2 goal(s).
👉 In the last 3 matches as the away team, Ajax conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 AZ has not lost any of the last 3 head-to-head matches against Ajax playing at home.

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Summary

Do you want more options of bookies to bet on AZ x Ajax?

If you want to take a look at more options of betting websites, we, from the Clube, have listed our favorites for you. Right below you can check the best kenyan betting sites from 2024, carefully analysed by us. Pick yours and start betting now on AZ x Ajax:

Analysis from AZ x Ajax for the Netherlands Eredivisie – 8 of December

🏟️ AZ X Ajax – Netherlands Eredivisie
📅 8 of December, 2024 – 13:30
🔵 AZ – Winning probability: 17.15% | Fair line: 5.83
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 24.20% | Fair line: 4.13
🔴 Ajax – Winning probability: 58.65% | Fair line: 1.7
⚖ Handicap 1×2: 0.0 AZ
⚽ Expected goals: 3.25 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.75 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for AZ x Ajax right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1233707 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the 1×2 market for AZ x Ajax

Is it worth betting on AZ?

🔵 AZ: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 17.15%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.80. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 170 times – having a profit of $306.00;
  • And would lose other 830 times – losing -$830.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$524.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 24.2%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.60. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 240 times – having a profit of $624.00;
  • And would have lost other 760 times – with a loss of -$760.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$136.00.

Should you bet on Ajax?

🔴 Ajax: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 58.65%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.33. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 590 times – having a profit of $784.70;
  • And would lose other 410 times – having a loss of -$410.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of 💰$374.70.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Handicaps analysis for the match AZ x Ajax

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: 0.0 AZ
⚽ Expected goals: 3.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for AZ x Ajax

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 0.0 AZ and the available handicap to bet at the moment is +0.25 AZ.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: +0.25 AZ.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for AZ x Ajax

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.25 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.75 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.50, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.75 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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