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Home ยป Predictions ยป AZ x FC Utrecht Betting tips for May 19 in Netherlands Eredivisie
Sunday, 19 May 2024, 12h30 Netherlands Eredivisie
AZ AZ
PREDICTION AZ wins Probability 80% 1 X 2
FC Utrecht FC Utrecht
ODD: @1.44 Don't miss this prediction!

AZ x FC Utrecht Betting tips for May 19 in Netherlands Eredivisie

Our betting tip for AZ x FC Utrecht, Sunday, 19/5/2024
๐Ÿ“… 19/5/2024
12:30
AZ AZ
1.44
X
4.37
FC Utrecht FC Utrecht
5.60

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for AZ x FC Utrecht:

๐Ÿ”ฎ AZ wins the match
๐Ÿ’ฐ When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on AZ, you can win up to $720.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

Important information for your tip for AZ x FC Utrecht:

๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on AZ in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $287.0.
๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on FC Utrecht in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-240.0.
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 5 matches as the home team, AZ scored at least 2 goal(s).
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 4 matches as the away team, FC Utrecht scored at least 1 goal(s).
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 3 matches as the home team against FC Utrecht, AZ scored at least 1 goal(s).
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 3 FC Utrecht matches as the away team, it finished over 2.5 goals.
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 3 head-to-head matches between AZ x FC Utrecht, with AZ as the home team, they finished over 2.5 goals.
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 5 matches as the away team, FC Utrecht conceded at least 1 goal(s).
๐Ÿ‘‰ Playing as the home team, AZ conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 4 head-to-head against FC Utrecht.
๐Ÿ‘‰ AZ is good playing home: it has 5 wins in a row in its last matches at home.

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Summary

Looking for more options of bookmakers for your bet on AZ x FC Utrecht?

If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on AZ x FC Utrecht, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2024. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:

Analysis from AZ x FC Utrecht for the Netherlands Eredivisie – 19 of May

๐ŸŸ๏ธ AZ X FC Utrecht – Netherlands Eredivisie
๐Ÿ“… 19 of May, 2024 – 12:30
๐Ÿ”ต AZ – Winning probability: 80.82% | Fair line: 1.24
โšช Tied game – Probability of tied match: 11.69% | Fair line: 8.55
๐Ÿ”ด FC Utrecht – Winning probability: 7.49% | Fair line: 13.35
โš– Handicap 1×2: -1.5 AZ
โšฝ Expected goals: 3.00 goals
โ›ณ Expected corner kicks: 10.00 corner kicks

When the best bet on AZ x FC Utrecht is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1120517 matches from Betfellows database, our collaborative prediction platform, seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the 1×2 market for AZ x FC Utrecht

Is betting on AZ worth it?

๐Ÿ”ต AZ: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 80.82% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.44. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 810 times – having a profit of $356.40;
  • And would lose other 190 times – having a loss of -$190.00 with them.

So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of ๐Ÿ’ฐ$166.40.

Is betting on draw worth it?

โšช draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 11.69% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 4.37. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 120 times – having a profit of $404.40;
  • And would have lost other 880 times – with a loss of -$880.00 because of them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$475.60.

Is it worth betting on FC Utrecht?

๐Ÿ”ด FC Utrecht: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 7.49% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 5.60. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 70 times – having a profit of $322.00;
  • And would have lost other 930 times – with a loss of -$930.00 because of them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$608.00.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Handicaps analysis for the match AZ x FC Utrecht

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on soccer betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

โš– Handicap 1×2: -1.5 AZ
โšฝ Expected goals: 3.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for AZ x FC Utrecht

โš– Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -1.5 AZ, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -1.25 AZ.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -1.25 AZ.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for AZ x FC Utrecht

โšฝ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.00 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 3.00 goals.

The handicap that our algorithm found is the same as the bookies, which means that there is not any value to bet on the Goals Handicap market.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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