AZ x Go Ahead Eagles Betting tips for December 7 in Netherlands Eredivisie

Our betting tip for AZ x Go Ahead Eagles, Sunday, 7/12/2025

📅 7/12/2025 13:30

AZ 1.42

X 4.80

Go Ahead Eagles 6.25

Our algorithm has selected this tip for AZ x Go Ahead Eagles:

🔮 AZ wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on AZ, you can win up to $710.00!

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Some important points for the tip for AZ x Go Ahead Eagles:

👉 If you had bet $100 on AZ in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $39.0.
👉 In the last 7 matches as the home team, AZ scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team against Go Ahead Eagles, AZ scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 6 matches as the away team, Go Ahead Eagles conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 Playing as the home team, AZ conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 3 head-to-head against Go Ahead Eagles.
👉 AZ has not lost any of the last 5 head-to-head matches against Go Ahead Eagles playing at home.
👉 It is not a good time for Go Ahead Eagles as away team: it comes from 4 losses in a row in its last away matches.

🤖 What does ChatGPT think about our prediction for AZ vs Go Ahead Eagles?

Lets analyze the match between AZ Alkmaar and Go Ahead Eagles at AFAS Stadion, home of AZ Alkmaar, which has a capacity of about 19,500 fans, ensuring the true home advantage for the home team.

📈 Table analysis: AZ Alkmaar is in a strong position in the Eredivisie, aiming to stay among the top three. This provides extra motivation to win and solidify their recent good form. Meanwhile, Go Ahead Eagles is in 10th place, showing a more modest performance with less pressure for immediate results.

Statistically, AZ shows superior numbers: average goals scored at home is 2 per game compared to just 1 for Go Ahead as visitors; ball possession favors AZ (58% vs 49%); much higher shots (19 vs 6) and accurate shots (9 vs 3). Additionally, in the last five home games, AZ has won four and lost only once — while Go Ahead has four recent away losses.

Based on median odds, the implied normalized probabilities are: AZ victory around 65%, draw close to 20%, and Go Ahead win about 15%. Considering the offensive/defensive stats of the teams combined with motivation from the table and the home advantage at AFAS Stadion, my fair estimate is close to this — perhaps slightly more favorable to the home team due to their clear superiority in recent offensive and defensive metrics.

Calculating expected value with the final odds (1.42 for AZ win), I see betting on the home team’s victory offers a positive expected value above +20%, confirming it as the best bet based on combined model + real data analysis.

📰 News: AZ is on a winning streak after important victories in both the league and the Conference League, breaking a negative sequence; despite recent transfer market exits (promising young players sold), they maintain a competitive squad focused on good national results. Meanwhile, Go Ahead faces internal disciplinary issues that may affect their collective focus — plus they are in an irregular phase away from home.

Final analysis: I fully agree with the Bets Kenya model suggestion indicating a high probability of the home team’s victory with excellent expected value (+23%). I see no value in bets on a draw or away win given the current conditions of the teams. My recommendation is to bet on AZ Alkmaar, taking advantage of their strong home advantage at AFAS Stadion combined with the recent demonstrated technical/tactical superiority!

Let’s seize this opportunity! ⚽🔥

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Analysis from AZ x Go Ahead Eagles for the Netherlands Eredivisie – 7 of December

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for AZ x Go Ahead Eagles right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1449543 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Latest news on AZ x Go Ahead Eagles

AZ Alkmaar: AZ Alkmaar has shown good performance at the end of 2025, securing an away victory of 3-1 against PEC Zwolle on December 3 and ending a negative streak in the Conference League with a 2-0 home win against Shelbourne, breaking their losing run. The club also advanced in the Dutch KNVB Beker after a dramatic penalty shootout defeat to Go Ahead Eagles, and is scheduled to face FC Twente at De Grolsch Veste on November 30, aiming for a top-three finish in the Eredivisie. In the transfer market, young forward David Wolfe moved to Wolverhampton Wanderers and midfielder Ernest Poku transferred to Bayer Leverkusen, while major Premier League clubs are eyeing AZ’s promising 19-year-old midfielder Kees Smit, valued at €20 million and under contract until 2028, attracting interest from Chelsea, Liverpool, Bayern Munich, Real Madrid, and Barcelona.

Go Ahead Eagles: Go Ahead Eagles recently made headlines after striker Victor Edvardsen was fined €500 by the club for making an offensive gesture towards midfielder Angelo Stiller of VfB Stuttgart during a Europa League match, for which he publicly apologized, and the fine will be donated to the club’s social sector; former Dutch star Wesley Sneijder also condemned the incident. In the Eredivisie, the team is in 10th place, having faced FC Utrecht on November 30, 2025, at De Adelaarshorst, and continues competing in the domestic league while dealing with disciplinary issues.

Table analysis for the match between AZ x Go Ahead Eagles

AZ: AZ is in 4th place with 24 points and is directly fighting for spots in international competitions, specifically the UEFA Europa League Qualification. Being just one point behind the 3rd place and ahead of the 5th, this match is very important to maintain or even improve their position, securing a better spot for European tournaments. The game is significant for the team to strengthen its position in the upper mid-table.

Go Ahead Eagles: The Go Ahead Eagles are in 10th place with 17 points, in a table region without immediate relegation threats and far from European qualification spots. With a reasonable gap to both the European qualification group and the relegation zone, the game has little qualifying importance for the Go Ahead Eagles. It can be seen more as an opportunity to earn points to climb the table, but without decisive pressure.

Summary: The match is important for AZ, which is still fighting for a European spot, while for the Go Ahead Eagles, the game is less decisive, having a smaller impact on their campaign. Therefore, the confrontation is more relevant for one of the teams.

Tips for the 1×2 market for AZ x Go Ahead Eagles

Is it a good idea to bet on AZ?

🔵 AZ: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 85.26%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.42. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 850 times – profiting $357.00;
• And would have lost other 150 times – with a loss of -$150.00 because of them.

So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of 💰$207.00.

Is it worth betting on draw?

⚪ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 10.74% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 4.80. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 110 times – this would give you a profit of $418.00
• And would have lost other 890 times – with a loss of -$890.00 because of them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$472.00.

Is betting on Go Ahead Eagles worth it?

🔴 Go Ahead Eagles: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 4.01%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 6.25. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 40 times – this would give you a profit of $210.00
• And would lose other 960 times – having a loss of -$960.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$750.00.

Handicaps analysis for the match AZ x Go Ahead Eagles

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.0 AZ
⚽ Expected goals: 3.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for AZ x Go Ahead Eagles

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -1.0 AZ, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -1.25 AZ.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 1.25 Go Ahead Eagles.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for AZ x Go Ahead Eagles

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.50 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 3.25 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 3.25 goals.