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Home ยป Predictions ยป Eredivisie ยป Excelsior x Feyenoord Betting tips for November 25 in Netherlands Eredivisie
Saturday, 25 November 2023, 00h00 Netherlands Eredivisie
Excelsior Excelsior
PREDICTION Feyenoord Wins Probability 98% 1 X 2
Feyenoord Feyenoord
ODD: @1.2 Don't miss this prediction! BET NOW Don't miss this prediction!

Excelsior x Feyenoord Betting tips for November 25 in Netherlands Eredivisie

Our betting tip for Excelsior x Feyenoord, Saturday, 25/11/2023
๐Ÿ“… 25/11/2023
15:30
Excelsior Excelsior
11.00
X
6.63
Feyenoord Feyenoord
1.20

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Excelsior x Feyenoord:

๐Ÿ”ฎ Feyenoord wins the match
๐Ÿ’ฐ When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Feyenoord, you can win up to $600.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

Important information for your tip for Excelsior x Feyenoord:

๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Excelsior in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-170.0.
๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Feyenoord in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-255.0.
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 3 matches as the home team, Excelsior scored at least 1 goal(s).
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 3 matches as the home team, Excelsior conceded at least 1 goal(s).
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 3 matches as the away team, Feyenoord conceded at least 1 goal(s).
๐Ÿ‘‰ Playing as the home team, Excelsior conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 3 head-to-head against Feyenoord.
๐Ÿ‘‰ Feyenoord is a team that likes ball possession. In its last 3 away matches, it had at least 60.00% of possession.

๐Ÿ“Š Check out the full analysis on Betfellows: Prognostic for Excelsior x Feyenoord

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Summary

Do you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Excelsior x Feyenoord?

If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Excelsior x Feyenoord, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2023. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:

Analysis from Excelsior x Feyenoord for the Netherlands Eredivisie – 25 of November

๐ŸŸ๏ธ Excelsior X Feyenoord – Netherlands Eredivisie
๐Ÿ“… 25 of November, 2023 – 15:30
๐Ÿ”ต Excelsior – Winning probability: 0.27% | Fair line: 367.8
โšช Tied game – Probability of tied match: 1.71% | Fair line: 58.42
๐Ÿ”ด Feyenoord – Winning probability: 98.02% | Fair line: 1.02
โš– Handicap 1×2: +2.0 Excelsior
โšฝ Expected goals: 3.25 goals
โ›ณ Expected corner kicks: 10.00 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Excelsior x Feyenoord right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1024927 matches on the betting prognostics platform Betfellows , in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Excelsior x Feyenoord

Should you bet on Excelsior?

๐Ÿ”ต Excelsior: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 0.27%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 11.00. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 0 times – profiting $0.00;
  • And would have lost other 1000 times – with a loss of -$1000.00 because of them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$1000.00.

Should you bet on draw?

โšช draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 1.71% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 6.63. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 20 times – profiting $112.60;
  • And would lose other 980 times – having a loss of -$980.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$867.40.

Is it a good idea to bet on Feyenoord?

๐Ÿ”ด Feyenoord: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 98.02% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.20. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 980 times – profiting $196.00;
  • And would lose other 20 times – losing -$20.00 with them.

It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of ๐Ÿ’ฐ$176.00.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Handicaps analysis for the match Excelsior x Feyenoord

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

โš– Handicap 1×2: +2.0 Excelsior
โšฝ Expected goals: 3.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Excelsior x Feyenoord

โš– Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is +2.0 Excelsior and the available handicap to bet at the moment is +1.75 Excelsior.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -1.75 Feyenoord.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Excelsior x Feyenoord

โšฝ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.25 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 3.50 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: – 3.50 goals.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves