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Home » Predictions » Eredivisie » FC Groningen x Almere City FC Betting tips for January 12 in Netherlands Eredivisie
Sunday, 12 January 2025, 13h30 Netherlands Eredivisie
FC Groningen FC Groningen
PREDICTION FC Groningen wins Probability 66% 1 X 2
Almere City FC Almere City FC
ODD: @1.76 Don't miss this prediction!

FC Groningen x Almere City FC Betting tips for January 12 in Netherlands Eredivisie

Our betting tip for FC Groningen x Almere City FC, Sunday, 12/1/2025
📅 12/1/2025
13:30
FC Groningen FC Groningen
1.76
X
3.60
Almere City FC Almere City FC
4.50

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for FC Groningen x Almere City FC:

🔮 FC Groningen wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on FC Groningen, you can win up to $880.00!

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The main points for the tip for FC Groningen x Almere City FC:

👉 If you had bet $100 on FC Groningen in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-40.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Almere City FC in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-500.
👉 FC Groningen did not concede a goal in the last 3 matches as home team.
👉 Almere City FC did not score any goals in the last 5 matches as away team.
👉 In the last 6 FC Groningen matches as the home team, it finished under 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 7 matches as the away team, Almere City FC conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 It is not a good time for Almere City FC as away team: it comes from 5 losses in a row in its last away matches.

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Summary

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Analysis from FC Groningen x Almere City FC for the Netherlands Eredivisie – 12 of January

🏟️ FC Groningen X Almere City FC – Netherlands Eredivisie
📅 12 of January, 2025 – 13:30
🔵 FC Groningen – Winning probability: 66.29% | Fair line: 1.51
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 21.13% | Fair line: 4.73
🔴 Almere City FC – Winning probability: 12.58% | Fair line: 7.95
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.75 FC Groningen
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.25 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for FC Groningen x Almere City FC right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1244844 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the 1×2 market for FC Groningen x Almere City FC

Is it worth betting on FC Groningen?

🔵 FC Groningen: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 66.29% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.76. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 660 times – this would give you a profit of $501.60
  • And would have lost other 340 times – with a loss of -$340.00 because of them.

So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of 💰$161.60.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 21.13% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.60. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 210 times – profiting $546.00;
  • And would have lost other 790 times – with a loss of -$790.00 because of them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$244.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on Almere City FC?

🔴 Almere City FC: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 12.58%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 4.50. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 130 times – having a profit of $455.00;
  • And would lose other 870 times – having a loss of -$870.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$415.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match FC Groningen x Almere City FC

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.75 FC Groningen
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for FC Groningen x Almere City FC

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.75 FC Groningen and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.75 FC Groningen. As the handicap available on the market is the same as that indicated by our robot, we will do nothing since there is not value bets on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for FC Groningen x Almere City FC

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.75 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.50 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.50 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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