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Home » Predictions » Eredivisie » FC Groningen x FC Utrecht Betting tips for October 20 in Netherlands Eredivisie
Sunday, 20 October 2024, 12h30 Netherlands Eredivisie
FC Groningen FC Groningen
PREDICTION Draw Match Probability 30% 1 X 2
FC Utrecht FC Utrecht
ODD: @3.6 Don't miss this prediction!

FC Groningen x FC Utrecht Betting tips for October 20 in Netherlands Eredivisie

Our betting tip for FC Groningen x FC Utrecht, Sunday, 20/10/2024
📅 20/10/2024
12:30
FC Groningen FC Groningen
3.05
X
3.60
FC Utrecht FC Utrecht
2.17

Our algorithm has selected this tip for FC Groningen x FC Utrecht:

🔮 Tied Match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on a tie, you can win up to $1800.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

Important information for your tip for FC Groningen x FC Utrecht:

👉 If you had bet $100 on FC Groningen in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-338.0.
👉 In the last 5 matches as the away team, FC Utrecht scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 3 matches as the away team, FC Utrecht conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 5 road matches, FC Utrecht has not lost any of them.

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Summary

Do you want other options of bookmakers to bet on FC Groningen x FC Utrecht?

If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on FC Groningen x FC Utrecht, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2024. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:

Analysis from FC Groningen x FC Utrecht for the Netherlands Eredivisie – 20 of October

🏟️ FC Groningen X FC Utrecht – Netherlands Eredivisie
📅 20 of October, 2024 – 12:30
🔵 FC Groningen – Winning probability: 22.58% | Fair line: 4.43
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 30.14% | Fair line: 3.32
🔴 FC Utrecht – Winning probability: 47.28% | Fair line: 2.12
⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.5 FC Groningen
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.50 corner kicks

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between FC Groningen and FC Utrecht.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1204538 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the 1×2 market for FC Groningen x FC Utrecht

Is it a good idea to bet on FC Groningen?

🔵 FC Groningen: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 22.58% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.05. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 230 times – this would give you a profit of $471.50
  • And would lose other 770 times – having a loss of -$770.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$298.50.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 30.14% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.60. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 300 times – having a profit of $780.00;
  • And would have lost other 700 times – with a loss of -$700.00 because of them.

That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of 💰$80.00.

Should you bet on FC Utrecht?

🔴 FC Utrecht: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 47.28%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.17. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 470 times – this would give you a profit of $549.90
  • And would lose other 530 times – having a loss of -$530.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$19.90.

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Handicaps analysis for the match FC Groningen x FC Utrecht

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.5 FC Groningen
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for FC Groningen x FC Utrecht

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is +0.5 FC Groningen and the available handicap to bet at the moment is +0.25 FC Groningen.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.25 FC Utrecht.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for FC Groningen x FC Utrecht

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.50 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.50 goals. As the handicap available on the market is the same as that indicated by our robot, we will do nothing since there is not value bets on the Goals Handicap market.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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