FC Twente x Heerenveen Betting tips for September 17 in Netherlands Eredivisie

Our betting tip for FC Twente x Heerenveen, Tuesday, 17/9/2024

📅 17/9/2024 15:00

FC Twente 1.40

X 5.00

Heerenveen 6.80

Our algorithm has selected this tip for FC Twente x Heerenveen:

🔮 FC Twente wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on FC Twente, you can win up to $700.00!

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Important information for your tip for FC Twente x Heerenveen: 👉 If you had bet $100 on FC Twente in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-305.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Heerenveen in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-500. 👉 In the last 8 matches as the home team, FC Twente scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 4 matches as the home team against Heerenveen, FC Twente scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 8 matches as the home team, FC Twente conceded at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 5 matches as the away team, Heerenveen conceded at least 1 goal(s). 👉 FC Twente has not lost any of the last 5 head-to-head matches against Heerenveen playing at home. 👉 It is not a good time for Heerenveen as away team: it comes from 4 losses in a row in its last away matches.

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Analysis from FC Twente x Heerenveen for the Netherlands Eredivisie – 17 of September

When the best bet on FC Twente x Heerenveen is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1182317 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the Match Odds market for FC Twente x Heerenveen

Is it a good idea to bet on FC Twente?

🔵 FC Twente: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 94.48%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.40. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 940 times – profiting $376.00;
• And would have lost other 60 times – with a loss of -$60.00 because of them.

That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of 💰$316.00.

Should you bet on draw?

⚪ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 3.64% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 5.00. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 40 times – profiting $160.00;
• And would lose other 960 times – losing -$960.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$800.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on Heerenveen?

🔴 Heerenveen: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 1.88% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 6.80. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 20 times – having a profit of $116.00;
• And would lose other 980 times – having a loss of -$980.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$864.00.

Handicaps analysis for the match FC Twente x Heerenveen

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.75 FC Twente
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for FC Twente x Heerenveen

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -1.75 FC Twente and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -1.25 FC Twente.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -1.25 FC Twente.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for FC Twente x Heerenveen

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.00 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 3.00 goals.

The handicap that our algorithm found is the same as the bookies, which means that there is not any value to bet on the Goals Handicap market.