FC Twente x NAC Betting tips for September 29 in Netherlands Eredivisie

Our betting tip for FC Twente x NAC, Sunday, 29/9/2024

📅 29/9/2024 09:30

FC Twente 1.23

X 6.45

NAC 9.86

Our algorithm has selected this tip for FC Twente x NAC:

🔮 FC Twente wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on FC Twente, you can win up to $615.00!

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The main points for the tip for FC Twente x NAC: 👉 If you had bet $100 on FC Twente in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-370.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on NAC in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-500. 👉 In the last 8 matches as the home team, FC Twente scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 5 matches as the away team, NAC conceded at least 2 goal(s). 👉 It is not a good time for NAC as away team: it comes from 5 losses in a row in its last away matches.

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Analysis from FC Twente x NAC for the Netherlands Eredivisie – 29 of September

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for FC Twente x NAC right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1190630 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the Match Odds market for FC Twente x NAC

Is betting on FC Twente worth it?

🔵 FC Twente: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 97.54% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.23. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 980 times – this would give you a profit of $225.40
• And would have lost other 20 times – with a loss of -$20.00 because of them.

That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of 💰$205.40.

Is betting on draw worth it?

⚪ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 1.88% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 6.45. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 20 times – this would give you a profit of $109.00
• And would have lost other 980 times – with a loss of -$980.00 because of them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$871.00.

Should you bet on NAC?

🔴 NAC: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 0.58%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 9.86. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 10 times – this would give you a profit of $88.60
• And would lose other 990 times – losing -$990.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$901.40.

Handicaps analysis for the match FC Twente x NAC

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -2.0 FC Twente
⚽ Expected goals: 3.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for FC Twente x NAC

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -2.0 FC Twente, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -1.75 FC Twente.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -1.75 FC Twente.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for FC Twente x NAC

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.25 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 3.25 goals.

Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Goals Handicap market.