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Home ยป Predictions ยป Eredivisie ยป FC Twente x PSV Betting tips for November 25 in Netherlands Eredivisie
Saturday, 25 November 2023, 00h00 Netherlands Eredivisie
FC Twente FC Twente
PREDICTION PSV Wins Probability 65% 1 X 2
PSV PSV
ODD: @1.83 Don't miss this prediction! BET NOW Don't miss this prediction!

FC Twente x PSV Betting tips for November 25 in Netherlands Eredivisie

Our betting tip for FC Twente x PSV, Saturday, 25/11/2023
๐Ÿ“… 25/11/2023
17:45
FC Twente FC Twente
3.83
X
3.80
PSV PSV
1.83

Our algorithm has selected this tip for FC Twente x PSV:

๐Ÿ”ฎ PSV wins the match
๐Ÿ’ฐ When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on PSV, you can win up to $915.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

Some important points for the tip for FC Twente x PSV:

๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on FC Twente in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $351.0.
๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on PSV in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-122.0.
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 5 matches as the home team, FC Twente scored at least 1 goal(s).
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 4 matches as the away team, PSV scored at least 1 goal(s).
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 4 matches as the home team against PSV, FC Twente scored at least 1 goal(s).
๐Ÿ‘‰ Playing as the home team, FC Twente conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 5 head-to-head against PSV.
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 4 road matches, PSV has not lost any of them.
๐Ÿ‘‰ FC Twente has not lost any of the last 4 head-to-head matches against PSV playing at home.

๐Ÿ“Š Check out the analysis on Betfellows for this match: Full prognostic for FC Twente x PSV

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Summary

Do you want other options of bookmakers to bet on FC Twente x PSV?

If you want to take a look at more options of betting websites, we, from the Clube, have listed our favorites for you. Right below you can check the best kenyan betting sites from 2023, carefully analysed by us. Pick yours and start betting now on FC Twente x PSV:

Analysis from FC Twente x PSV for the Netherlands Eredivisie – 25 of November

๐ŸŸ๏ธ FC Twente X PSV – Netherlands Eredivisie
๐Ÿ“… 25 of November, 2023 – 17:45
๐Ÿ”ต FC Twente – Winning probability: 13.56% | Fair line: 7.38
โšช Tied game – Probability of tied match: 20.53% | Fair line: 4.87
๐Ÿ”ด PSV – Winning probability: 65.92% | Fair line: 1.52
โš– Handicap 1×2: +1.0 FC Twente
โšฝ Expected goals: 3.00 goals
โ›ณ Expected corner kicks: 9.75 corner kicks

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between FC Twente and PSV.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1024927 matches on the database from our soccer prognostics platform, Betfellows, looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the Match Odds market for FC Twente x PSV

Is it a good idea to bet on FC Twente?

๐Ÿ”ต FC Twente: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 13.56% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.83. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 140 times – this would give you a profit of $396.20
  • And would lose other 860 times – losing -$860.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$463.80.

Is betting on draw worth it?

โšช draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 20.53% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.80. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 210 times – having a profit of $588.00;
  • And would have lost other 790 times – with a loss of -$790.00 because of them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$202.00.

Is it worth betting on PSV?

๐Ÿ”ด PSV: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 65.92% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.83. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 660 times – this would give you a profit of $547.80
  • And would lose other 340 times – having a loss of -$340.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of ๐Ÿ’ฐ$207.80.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Handicaps analysis for the match FC Twente x PSV

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

โš– Handicap 1×2: +1.0 FC Twente
โšฝ Expected goals: 3.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for FC Twente x PSV

โš– Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is +1.0 FC Twente and the available handicap to bet at the moment is +0.5 FC Twente.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.50, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.5 PSV.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for FC Twente x PSV

โšฝ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.00 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 3.25 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: – 3.25 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves