FC Twente x PSV Betting tips for November 25 in Netherlands Eredivisie

Our betting tip for FC Twente x PSV, Saturday, 25/11/2023

📅 25/11/2023 17:45

FC Twente 3.83

X 3.80

PSV 1.83

Our algorithm has selected this tip for FC Twente x PSV:

🔮 PSV wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on PSV, you can win up to $915.00!

Make this bet on Bet365 now!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com 

Some important points for the tip for FC Twente x PSV: 👉 If you had bet $100 on FC Twente in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $351.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on PSV in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-122.0. 👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team, FC Twente scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 4 matches as the away team, PSV scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 4 matches as the home team against PSV, FC Twente scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 Playing as the home team, FC Twente conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 5 head-to-head against PSV. 👉 In the last 4 road matches, PSV has not lost any of them. 👉 FC Twente has not lost any of the last 4 head-to-head matches against PSV playing at home.

📊 Check out the analysis on Betfellows for this match: Full prognostic for FC Twente x PSV

Do you want other options of bookmakers to bet on FC Twente x PSV?

If you want to take a look at more options of betting websites, we, from the Clube, have listed our favorites for you. Right below you can check the best kenyan betting sites from 2023, carefully analysed by us. Pick yours and start betting now on FC Twente x PSV:

Analysis from FC Twente x PSV for the Netherlands Eredivisie – 25 of November

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between FC Twente and PSV.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1024927 matches on the database from our soccer prognostics platform, Betfellows, looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the Match Odds market for FC Twente x PSV

Is it a good idea to bet on FC Twente?

🔵 FC Twente: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 13.56% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.83. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 140 times – this would give you a profit of $396.20
• And would lose other 860 times – losing -$860.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$463.80.

Is betting on draw worth it?

⚪ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 20.53% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.80. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 210 times – having a profit of $588.00;
• And would have lost other 790 times – with a loss of -$790.00 because of them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$202.00.

Is it worth betting on PSV?

🔴 PSV: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 65.92% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.83. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 660 times – this would give you a profit of $547.80
• And would lose other 340 times – having a loss of -$340.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of 💰$207.80.

Handicaps analysis for the match FC Twente x PSV

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: +1.0 FC Twente
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for FC Twente x PSV

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is +1.0 FC Twente and the available handicap to bet at the moment is +0.5 FC Twente.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.50, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.5 PSV.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for FC Twente x PSV

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.00 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 3.25 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: – 3.25 goals.