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Home » Predictions » Eredivisie » FC Twente x Willem II Betting tips for January 12 in Netherlands Eredivisie
Sunday, 12 January 2025, 11h15 Netherlands Eredivisie
FC Twente FC Twente
PREDICTION Willem II Wins Probability 19% 1 X 2
Willem II Willem II
ODD: @7 Don't miss this prediction!

FC Twente x Willem II Betting tips for January 12 in Netherlands Eredivisie

Our betting tip for FC Twente x Willem II, Sunday, 12/1/2025
📅 12/1/2025
11:15
FC Twente FC Twente
1.40
X
4.75
Willem II Willem II
7.00

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for FC Twente x Willem II:

🔮 Willem II wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Willem II, you can win up to $3500.00!

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The main points for the tip for FC Twente x Willem II:

👉 If you had bet $100 on FC Twente in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-68.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Willem II in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $675.0.
👉 In the last 3 head-to-head matches between FC Twente x Willem II, with FC Twente as the home team, they finished under 2.5 goals.
👉 Playing as the home team, FC Twente conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 5 head-to-head against Willem II.

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Summary

Do you want more options of bookies to bet on FC Twente x Willem II?

If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on FC Twente x Willem II, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2025. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:

Analysis from FC Twente x Willem II for the Netherlands Eredivisie – 12 of January

🏟️ FC Twente X Willem II – Netherlands Eredivisie
📅 12 of January, 2025 – 11:15
🔵 FC Twente – Winning probability: 67.72% | Fair line: 1.48
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 12.46% | Fair line: 8.02
🔴 Willem II – Winning probability: 19.82% | Fair line: 5.05
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.5 FC Twente
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 10.50 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for FC Twente x Willem II right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1244844 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the 1×2 market for FC Twente x Willem II

Is it worth betting on FC Twente?

🔵 FC Twente: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 67.72% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.40. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 680 times – profiting $272.00;
  • And would have lost other 320 times – with a loss of -$320.00 because of them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$48.00.

Is it worth betting on draw?

draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 12.46% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 4.75. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 120 times – profiting $450.00;
  • And would lose other 880 times – having a loss of -$880.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$430.00.

Should you bet on Willem II?

🔴 Willem II: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 19.82% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 7.00. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 200 times – having a profit of $1200.00;
  • And would have lost other 800 times – with a loss of -$800.00 because of them.

So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of 💰$400.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match FC Twente x Willem II

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.5 FC Twente
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for FC Twente x Willem II

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.5 FC Twente, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -1.25 FC Twente.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.75. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 1.25 Willem II.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for FC Twente x Willem II

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.75 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.75 goals.

Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Goals Handicap market.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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