FC Volendam x NEC Betting tips for December 7 in Netherlands Eredivisie

Our betting tip for FC Volendam x NEC, Sunday, 7/12/2025

📅 7/12/2025 13:30

FC Volendam 3.68

X 4.00

NEC 1.84

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for FC Volendam x NEC:

🔮 NEC wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on NEC, you can win up to $920.00!

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The main points for the tip for FC Volendam x NEC:

👉 If you had bet $100 on FC Volendam in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $225.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on NEC in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $330.0.
👉 In the last 7 matches as the home team, FC Volendam scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team against NEC, FC Volendam scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 5 head-to-head matches between FC Volendam x NEC, with FC Volendam as the home team, they finished over 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 8 matches as the away team, NEC conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 Playing as the home team, FC Volendam conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 5 head-to-head against NEC.
👉 Even as a visitor, NEC won the last 3 head-to-head matches FC Volendam´s territory

🤖 What’s ChatGPT’s opinion on our prediction for FC Volendam vs NEC?

Lets analyze the match between FC Volendam and NEC at Kras Stadion, home of FC Volendam. The median odds indicate a clear favoritism for NEC (1.84), with draws and Volendam wins being more expensive (3.68 and 4 respectively). By calculating the normalized implied probabilities, we get approximately 27% for Volendam victory, 25% for a draw, and 48% for NEC victory.

Statistically, FC Volendam has a reasonable home performance in the last five matches (3 wins, 1 draw, 1 loss), scoring an average of 2 goals per game at home and conceding only 1. NEC shows strong away offensive numbers with an average of nearly 2 goals scored, but concedes more (average of 2). NEC is better positioned in the table with a superior campaign: third place with more points than Volendam, which is mid-table.

Considering balanced offensive stats but slightly vulnerable defense of NEC away, combined with FC Volendam playing at Kras Stadion where they usually have good recent defensive performance, my fair estimate of probabilities would be: FC Volendam win – ~30%, Draw – ~28%, NEC win – ~42%. This suggests fair odds of approximately: 3.33 for the home team; 3.57 for a draw; 2.38 for the away team.

Comparing these fair odds to the final odds offered by betting houses (4 / 4 / 1.8), we see interesting value in betting on the home win as the odds pay well above the estimated fair (~4 vs ~3.33), indicating potential positive value in this bet.

📰 News:
FC Volendam has been fighting poor results recently but maintains good defensive performance at home; NEC is in a positive moment, climbing to third place after a convincing recent victory with key individual highlights like Sami Ouaissa who can positively influence his team in this match.

📈 Table analysis:
NEC clearly aims to maintain a high position aiming for the title or European qualification, while FC Volendam tries to move away from the dangerous relegation zone – this increases motivation on both sides but slightly favors the visitors due to their current quality demonstrated in the championship.

Final analysis:
I partially disagree with the very low predictions in the odds forecast by Bets Kenya, especially regarding the excessive strength attributed to the visitor (very low predicted odds). I see real value betting on a surprising victory or at least a positive result for the home team given their recent defensive solidity playing at Kras Stadion.
My suggestion is to bet on FC Volendams victory, as it offers good expected value (>5%) considering the current odds versus my estimates based on the presented data.
Good luck! ⚽💰

Looking for another bookie to bet on FC Volendam x NEC?

If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on FC Volendam x NEC, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2025. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:

Analysis from FC Volendam x NEC for the Netherlands Eredivisie – 7 of December

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between FC Volendam and NEC.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1449543 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Latest news on FC Volendam x NEC

FC Volumen: FC Volumen, managed by coach Rick Kruys, is facing difficulties in the VriendenLoterij Eredivisie, sitting in the middle of the table after 14 matches with three wins, five draws, and six losses, totaling 14 points and a goal difference of -7. The squad has an average age of 23.9 years, includes nine foreign players and six internationals, and plays home matches at Kras Stadion, which has a capacity of 6,984 spectators in Volendam. The last result was a 3-0 defeat to current champions PSV Eindhoven on November 30, 2025, when Joey Veerman of PSV scored his sixth league goal. The team’s next match is scheduled for December 7, 2025, against NEC Nijmegen.

NEC Nijmegen: NEC Nijmegen moved up to third place in the Eredivisie 2025-26 after a 3-1 home victory against Sparta Rotterdam on November 29, 2025, with midfielder Sami Ouaissa scoring the second goal and providing a heel assist for Koki Ogawa’s opening goal, earning him the Player of the Week award and a spot in the Eredivisie Team of the Week. Argentine goalkeeper Gonzalo Crettaz made six saves to keep a clean sheet. This victory brought NEC to 24 points in 14 games (7 wins, 3 draws, 4 losses) in the league standings.

Table analysis for the match between FC Volendam and NEC

FC Volendam: Although they are in 15th place in the table, FC Volendam has only 14 points, sitting very close to the relegation zone. The gap to the teams just below is small, and the team can still avoid bigger problems if they earn important points in this match. Therefore, this game is crucial for FC Volendam, as it can help them distance themselves from the threat of relegation and secure their stay in Eredivisie.

NEC: Holding 3rd place with 24 points, NEC is in the qualification zone for the Champions League qualifiers, a valuable spot for an Eredivisie club. The match against FC Volendam is important to maintain or even expand this position, as the difference to 4th place is minimal. Losing points could jeopardize their international ambitions, making this game an important contest for NEC.

Summary: The match is important for both teams: FC Volendam fights to move away from the relegation zone, while NEC aims to maintain their privileged position to secure a spot in a European competition next season. A game with pressure and a lot at stake! ⚽🔥

Tips for the Match Odds market for FC Volendam x NEC

Is betting on FC Volendam worth it?

🔵 FC Volendam: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 15.01%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.68. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 150 times – having a profit of $402.00;
• And would have lost other 850 times – with a loss of -$850.00 because of them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$448.00.

Should you bet on draw?

⚪ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 21.14% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 4.00. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 210 times – having a profit of $630.00;
• And would have lost other 790 times – with a loss of -$790.00 because of them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$160.00.

Is it worth betting on NEC?

🔴 NEC: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 63.84% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.84. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 640 times – profiting $537.60;
• And would lose other 360 times – losing -$360.00 with them.

So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of 💰$177.60.

Handicaps analysis for the match FC Volendam x NEC

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.75 FC Volendam
⚽ Expected goals: 3.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for FC Volendam x NEC

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be +0.75 FC Volendam, and the current handicap offered by bookies is +0.5 FC Volendam.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.5 NEC.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for FC Volendam x NEC

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.25 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 3.25 goals.

The handicap that our algorithm found is the same as the bookies, which means that there is not any value to bet on the Goals Handicap market.