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Home » Predictions » Eredivisie » Fortuna Sittard x Heerenveen Betting tips for November 2 in Netherlands Eredivisie
Saturday, 02 November 2024, 20h00 Netherlands Eredivisie
Fortuna Sittard Fortuna Sittard
PREDICTION Draw Match Probability 33% 1 X 2
Heerenveen Heerenveen
ODD: @3.5 Don't miss this prediction!

Fortuna Sittard x Heerenveen Betting tips for November 2 in Netherlands Eredivisie

Our betting tip for Fortuna Sittard x Heerenveen, Saturday, 2/11/2024
📅 2/11/2024
20:00
Fortuna Sittard Fortuna Sittard
2.16
X
3.50
Heerenveen Heerenveen
3.18

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Fortuna Sittard x Heerenveen:

🔮 Tied Match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on a tie, you can win up to $1750.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

The main points for the tip for Fortuna Sittard x Heerenveen:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Fortuna Sittard in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $470.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Heerenveen in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-380.0.
👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team, Fortuna Sittard scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team against Heerenveen, Fortuna Sittard scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 3 Heerenveen matches as the away team, it finished over 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 7 matches as the away team, Heerenveen conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 Fortuna Sittard has not lost any of the last 3 head-to-head matches against Heerenveen playing at home.

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Summary

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Analysis from Fortuna Sittard x Heerenveen for the Netherlands Eredivisie – 2 of November

🏟️ Fortuna Sittard X Heerenveen – Netherlands Eredivisie
📅 2 of November, 2024 – 20:00
🔵 Fortuna Sittard – Winning probability: 40.98% | Fair line: 2.44
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 33.87% | Fair line: 2.95
🔴 Heerenveen – Winning probability: 25.15% | Fair line: 3.98
⚖ Handicap 1×2: 0.0 Fortuna Sittard
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.50 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Fortuna Sittard x Heerenveen right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1214237 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Fortuna Sittard x Heerenveen

Is betting on Fortuna Sittard worth it?

🔵 Fortuna Sittard: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 40.98% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.16. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 410 times – having a profit of $475.60;
  • And would lose other 590 times – having a loss of -$590.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$114.40.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 33.87% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.50. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 340 times – this would give you a profit of $850.00
  • And would lose other 660 times – losing -$660.00 with them.

That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of 💰$190.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on Heerenveen?

🔴 Heerenveen: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 25.15% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.18. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 250 times – this would give you a profit of $545.00
  • And would lose other 750 times – losing -$750.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$205.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Fortuna Sittard x Heerenveen

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: 0.0 Fortuna Sittard
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Fortuna Sittard x Heerenveen

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 0.0 Fortuna Sittard, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.25 Fortuna Sittard.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.25 Heerenveen.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Fortuna Sittard x Heerenveen

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.50 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.75 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: – 2.75 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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