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Home ยป Predictions ยป Eredivisie ยป Heerenveen x Fortuna Sittard Betting tips for November 25 in Netherlands Eredivisie
Saturday, 25 November 2023, 00h00 Netherlands Eredivisie
Heerenveen Heerenveen
PREDICTION Heerenveen wins Probability 17% 1 X 2
Fortuna Sittard Fortuna Sittard
ODD: @1.97 Don't miss this prediction! BET NOW Don't miss this prediction!

Heerenveen x Fortuna Sittard Betting tips for November 25 in Netherlands Eredivisie

Our betting tip for Heerenveen x Fortuna Sittard, Saturday, 25/11/2023
๐Ÿ“… 25/11/2023
17:45
Heerenveen Heerenveen
1.97
X
3.65
Fortuna Sittard Fortuna Sittard
3.50

Our algorithm has selected this tip for Heerenveen x Fortuna Sittard:

๐Ÿ”ฎ Heerenveen wins the match
๐Ÿ’ฐ When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Heerenveen, you can win up to $985.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

Some important points for the tip for Heerenveen x Fortuna Sittard:

๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Heerenveen in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-197.0.
๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Fortuna Sittard in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-372.0.
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 3 matches as the home team, Heerenveen scored at least 1 goal(s).
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 5 matches as the home team against Fortuna Sittard, Heerenveen scored at least 1 goal(s).

๐Ÿ“Š Check out the analysis on Betfellows for this match: Full prognostic for Heerenveen x Fortuna Sittard

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Summary

Do you want other suggestions of bookmakers to bet on Heerenveen x Fortuna Sittard?

If you want to take a look at more options of betting websites, we, from the Clube, have listed our favorites for you. Right below you can check the best kenyan betting sites from 2023, carefully analysed by us. Pick yours and start betting now on Heerenveen x Fortuna Sittard:

Analysis from Heerenveen x Fortuna Sittard for the Netherlands Eredivisie – 25 of November

๐ŸŸ๏ธ Heerenveen X Fortuna Sittard – Netherlands Eredivisie
๐Ÿ“… 25 of November, 2023 – 17:45
๐Ÿ”ต Heerenveen – Winning probability: 56.58% | Fair line: 1.77
โšช Tied game – Probability of tied match: 26.21% | Fair line: 3.82
๐Ÿ”ด Fortuna Sittard – Winning probability: 17.21% | Fair line: 5.81
โš– Handicap 1×2: -1.0 Heerenveen
โšฝ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
โ›ณ Expected corner kicks: 9.25 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Heerenveen x Fortuna Sittard right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1024927 matches on the database from our soccer prognostics platform, Betfellows, looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Heerenveen x Fortuna Sittard

Is it worth betting on Heerenveen?

๐Ÿ”ต Heerenveen: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 56.58%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.97. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 570 times – profiting $552.90;
  • And would have lost other 430 times – with a loss of -$430.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of ๐Ÿ’ฐ$122.90.

Is betting on draw worth it?

โšช draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 26.21% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.65. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 260 times – this would give you a profit of $689.00
  • And would have lost other 740 times – with a loss of -$740.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$51.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on Fortuna Sittard?

๐Ÿ”ด Fortuna Sittard: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 17.21% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.50. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 170 times – this would give you a profit of $425.00
  • And would lose other 830 times – having a loss of -$830.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$405.00.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Handicaps analysis for the match Heerenveen x Fortuna Sittard

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

โš– Handicap 1×2: -1.0 Heerenveen
โšฝ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Heerenveen x Fortuna Sittard

โš– Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -1.0 Heerenveen, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.5 Heerenveen.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.5 Heerenveen.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Heerenveen x Fortuna Sittard

โšฝ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.75 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.75 goals.

Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Goals Handicap market.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves