Heerenveen x Fortuna Sittard Betting tips for November 25 in Netherlands Eredivisie
📊 Check out the analysis on Betfellows for this match: Full prognostic for Heerenveen x Fortuna Sittard
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Analysis from Heerenveen x Fortuna Sittard for the Netherlands Eredivisie – 25 of November
🏟️ Heerenveen X Fortuna Sittard – Netherlands Eredivisie
Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Heerenveen x Fortuna Sittard right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.
And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1024927 matches on the database from our soccer prognostics platform, Betfellows, looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:
Tips for the 1×2 market for Heerenveen x Fortuna Sittard
Is it worth betting on Heerenveen?
🔵 Heerenveen: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 56.58%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.97. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 570 times – profiting $552.90;
- And would have lost other 430 times – with a loss of -$430.00 because of them.
Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of 💰$122.90.
Is betting on draw worth it?
⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 26.21% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.65. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 260 times – this would give you a profit of $689.00
- And would have lost other 740 times – with a loss of -$740.00 because of them.
Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$51.00.
Is it a good idea to bet on Fortuna Sittard?
🔴 Fortuna Sittard: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 17.21% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.50. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 170 times – this would give you a profit of $425.00
- And would lose other 830 times – having a loss of -$830.00 with them.
That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$405.00.
Handicaps analysis for the match Heerenveen x Fortuna Sittard
Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.
These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.0 Heerenveen
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Heerenveen x Fortuna Sittard
⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -1.0 Heerenveen, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.5 Heerenveen.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.5 Heerenveen.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Heerenveen x Fortuna Sittard
⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.75 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.75 goals.
Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Goals Handicap market.