Heerenveen x Willem II Betting tips for April 4 in Netherlands Eredivisie

Our betting tip for Heerenveen x Willem II, Friday, 4/4/2025

📅 4/4/2025
18:00

Heerenveen
1.75

X
3.84

Willem II

4.33

Our algorithm has selected this tip for Heerenveen x Willem II:

🔮 Heerenveen wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Heerenveen, you can win up to $875.00!

Make this bet on Bet365 now!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com

The main points for the tip for Heerenveen x Willem II:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Heerenveen in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-150.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Willem II in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-500.
👉 In the last 4 matches as the home team, Heerenveen scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team against Willem II, Heerenveen scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team, Heerenveen conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 6 matches as the away team, Willem II conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 Heerenveen has not lost any of the last 3 head-to-head matches against Willem II playing at home.

Summary

Looking for more options of bookmakers for your bet on Heerenveen x Willem II?

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Analysis from Heerenveen x Willem II for the Netherlands Eredivisie – 4 of April

🏟️ Heerenveen X Willem II – Netherlands Eredivisie
📅 4 of April, 2025 – 18:00
🔵 Heerenveen – Winning probability: 77.96% | Fair line: 1.28
⚪ Tied game – Probability of tied match: 11.49% | Fair line: 8.7
🔴 Willem II – Winning probability: 10.55% | Fair line: 9.48
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.0 Heerenveen
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 10.00 corner kicks

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Heerenveen and Willem II.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1294791 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Heerenveen x Willem II

Is betting on Heerenveen worth it?

🔵 Heerenveen: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 77.96% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.75. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

Would hit 780 times – profiting $585.00;
And would have lost other 220 times – with a loss of -$220.00 because of them.

That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of 💰$365.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 11.49% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.84. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

Would have hit 110 times – having a profit of $312.40;
And would have lost other 890 times – with a loss of -$890.00 because of them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$577.60.

Should you bet on Willem II?

🔴 Willem II: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 10.55%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 4.33. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

Would hit 110 times – profiting $366.30;
And would lose other 890 times – having a loss of -$890.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$523.70.

Handicaps analysis for the match Heerenveen x Willem II

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.0 Heerenveen
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Heerenveen x Willem II

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -1.0 Heerenveen, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.75 Heerenveen.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.75 Heerenveen.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Heerenveen x Willem II

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.00 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.50 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.50 goals.