Heracles x Ajax Betting tips for October 20 in Netherlands Eredivisie

Our betting tip for Heracles x Ajax, Sunday, 20/10/2024

📅 20/10/2024 12:30

Heracles 7.20

X 5.16

Ajax 1.36

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Heracles x Ajax:

🔮 Heracles wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Heracles, you can win up to $3600.00!

Make this bet on Bet365 now!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com 

Important information for your tip for Heracles x Ajax: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Heracles in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-212.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Ajax in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-181.0. 👉 In the last 7 matches as the away team, Ajax scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 3 Ajax matches as the away team, it finished under 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 4 road matches, Ajax has not lost any of them.

Do you want other suggestions of bookmakers to bet on Heracles x Ajax?

If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Heracles x Ajax, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2024. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:

Analysis from Heracles x Ajax for the Netherlands Eredivisie – 20 of October

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Heracles x Ajax right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1204538 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Heracles x Ajax

Should you bet on Heracles?

🔵 Heracles: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 21.36% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 7.20. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 210 times – having a profit of $1302.00;
• And would lose other 790 times – having a loss of -$790.00 with them.

That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of 💰$512.00.

Should you bet on draw?

⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 10.54% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 5.16. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 110 times – this would give you a profit of $457.60
• And would have lost other 890 times – with a loss of -$890.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$432.40.

Is it a good idea to bet on Ajax?

🔴 Ajax: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 68.1% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.36. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 680 times – this would give you a profit of $244.80
• And would have lost other 320 times – with a loss of -$320.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$75.20.

Handicaps analysis for the match Heracles x Ajax

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.75 Heracles
⚽ Expected goals: 3.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Heracles x Ajax

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be +0.75 Heracles, and the current handicap offered by bookies is +1.5 Heracles.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.75. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: +1.5 Heracles.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Heracles x Ajax

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.50 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 3.00 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 3.00 goals.