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Home Β» Predictions Β» Eredivisie Β» Heracles x Fortuna Sittard Betting tips for December 7 in Netherlands Eredivisie
Saturday, 07 December 2024, 20h00 Netherlands Eredivisie
Heracles Heracles
PREDICTION No tip
Fortuna Sittard Fortuna Sittard
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Heracles x Fortuna Sittard Betting tips for December 7 in Netherlands Eredivisie

Our betting tip for Heracles x Fortuna Sittard, Saturday, 7/12/2024
πŸ“… 7/12/2024
20:00
Heracles Heracles
2.53
X
3.30
Fortuna Sittard Fortuna Sittard
2.63

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Heracles x Fortuna Sittard:

πŸ‘Ž Unfortunately, we did not find any positive expected value bets for Heracles x Fortuna Sittard

Some important points for the tip for Heracles x Fortuna Sittard:

πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Heracles in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $8.0.
πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Fortuna Sittard in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-367.0.
πŸ‘‰ In the last 4 matches as the home team, Heracles scored at least 2 goal(s).
πŸ‘‰ In the last 3 matches as the away team, Fortuna Sittard scored at least 1 goal(s).
πŸ‘‰ In the last 3 matches as the away team, Fortuna Sittard conceded at least 1 goal(s).

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Summary

Do you want other suggestions of bookmakers to bet on Heracles x Fortuna Sittard?

If you want to take a look at more options of betting websites, we, from the Clube, have listed our favorites for you. Right below you can check the best kenyan betting sites from 2024, carefully analysed by us. Pick yours and start betting now on Heracles x Fortuna Sittard:

Analysis from Heracles x Fortuna Sittard for the Netherlands Eredivisie – 7 of December

🏟️ Heracles X Fortuna Sittard – Netherlands Eredivisie
πŸ“… 7 of December, 2024 – 20:00
πŸ”΅ Heracles – Winning probability: 43.95% | Fair line: 2.28
βšͺ Tied game – Probability of tied match: 30.41% | Fair line: 3.29
πŸ”΄ Fortuna Sittard – Winning probability: 25.64% | Fair line: 3.9
βš– Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Heracles
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
β›³ Expected corner kicks: 10.00 corner kicks

When the best bet on Heracles x Fortuna Sittard is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1233239 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Heracles x Fortuna Sittard

Is it a good idea to bet on Heracles?

πŸ”΅ Heracles: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 43.95%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.53. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 440 times – this would give you a profit of $673.20
  • And would lose other 560 times – having a loss of -$560.00 with them.

Although this bet has some value, notice that the expected profit is just πŸ’°$113.20, which is not worth the risk in our point of view.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

βšͺ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 30.41% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.30. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 300 times – having a profit of $690.00;
  • And would lose other 700 times – having a loss of -$700.00 with them.

Even if it is a positive expected value bet, the expected profit is just πŸ’°$10.00 which is not worth the risk in our opinion.

Should you bet on Fortuna Sittard?

πŸ”΄ Fortuna Sittard: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 25.64%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.63. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 260 times – this would give you a profit of $423.80
  • And would have lost other 740 times – with a loss of -$740.00 because of them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of πŸ’°-$316.20.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Heracles x Fortuna Sittard

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

βš– Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Heracles
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Heracles x Fortuna Sittard

βš– Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.5 Heracles and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 0.0 Heracles.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.0 Heracles.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Heracles x Fortuna Sittard

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.75 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.50 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.50 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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