Heracles x Fortuna Sittard Betting tips for May 19 in Netherlands Eredivisie
| 📅 19/5/2024 12:30 |
 Heracles2.42 |
X 3.55 |
Fortuna Sittard  2.51 |
Our algorithm has selected this tip for Heracles x Fortuna Sittard:
🔮 Fortuna Sittard wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Fortuna Sittard, you can win up to $1255.00!
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Important information for your tip for Heracles x Fortuna Sittard: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Heracles in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $470.0. |
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Analysis from Heracles x Fortuna Sittard for the Netherlands Eredivisie – 19 of May
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🏟️ Heracles X Fortuna Sittard – Netherlands Eredivisie |
Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Heracles x Fortuna Sittard right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.
Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1120517 matches on the betting prognostics platform Betfellows , in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:
Tips for the 1×2 market for Heracles x Fortuna Sittard
Should you bet on Heracles?
🔵 Heracles: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 30.18% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.42. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 300 times – this would give you a profit of $426.00
- And would lose other 700 times – having a loss of -$700.00 with them.
That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$274.00.
Is betting on draw worth it?
⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 29.14% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.55. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would have hit 290 times – having a profit of $739.50;
- And would lose other 710 times – losing -$710.00 with them.
It is a low stake bet, since after all you would have an final expected profit of just 💰$29.50. Which is not even that worthy considering the risk!
Is betting on Fortuna Sittard worth it?
🔴 Fortuna Sittard: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 40.68%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.51. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 410 times – having a profit of $619.10;
- And would have lost other 590 times – with a loss of -$590.00 because of them.
That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of 💰$29.10.
Handicaps analysis for the match Heracles x Fortuna Sittard
Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.
Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: 0.0 Heracles
⚽ Expected goals: 3.25 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Heracles x Fortuna Sittard
⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 0.0 Heracles, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 0.0 Heracles.
Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Heracles x Fortuna Sittard
⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.25 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 3.00 goals.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 3.00 goals.
