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Home » Predictions » Eredivisie » Heracles x NAC Betting tips for November 2 in Netherlands Eredivisie
Saturday, 02 November 2024, 17h45 Netherlands Eredivisie
Heracles Heracles
PREDICTION Draw Match Probability 35% 1 X 2
NAC NAC
ODD: @3.42 Don't miss this prediction!

Heracles x NAC Betting tips for November 2 in Netherlands Eredivisie

Our betting tip for Heracles x NAC, Saturday, 2/11/2024
📅 2/11/2024
17:45
Heracles Heracles
2.20
X
3.42
NAC NAC
3.11

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Heracles x NAC:

🔮 Tied Match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on a tie, you can win up to $1710.00!

🔮 NAC wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on NAC, you can win up to $1555.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

The main points for the tip for Heracles x NAC:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Heracles in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-212.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on NAC in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $165.0.
👉 In the last 3 matches as the away team, NAC scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 4 matches as the home team against NAC, Heracles scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 Heracles has won all the last 4 matches playing at home against NAC.

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Summary

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Analysis from Heracles x NAC for the Netherlands Eredivisie – 2 of November

🏟️ Heracles X NAC – Netherlands Eredivisie
📅 2 of November, 2024 – 17:45
🔵 Heracles – Winning probability: 28.65% | Fair line: 3.49
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 35.51% | Fair line: 2.82
🔴 NAC – Winning probability: 35.84% | Fair line: 2.79
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Heracles
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.75 corner kicks

When the best bet on Heracles x NAC is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1213551 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Heracles x NAC

Is it a good idea to bet on Heracles?

🔵 Heracles: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 28.65% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.20. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 290 times – profiting $348.00;
  • And would lose other 710 times – having a loss of -$710.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$362.00.

Is it worth betting on draw?

draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 35.51% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.42. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 360 times – having a profit of $871.20;
  • And would have lost other 640 times – with a loss of -$640.00 because of them.

So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of 💰$231.20.

Should you bet on NAC?

🔴 NAC: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 35.84% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.11. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 360 times – this would give you a profit of $759.60
  • And would have lost other 640 times – with a loss of -$640.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of 💰$119.60.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Heracles x NAC

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Heracles
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Heracles x NAC

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.25 Heracles, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.25 Heracles.

The handicap that our algorithm found is the same as the bookies, which means that there is not any value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Heracles x NAC

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.50 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.75 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: – 2.75 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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