NAC x NEC Betting tips for October 5 in Netherlands Eredivisie
📅 5/10/2024 13:45 |
NAC 3.02 |
X 3.42 |
NEC 2.25 |
This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for NAC x NEC:
🔮 Tied Match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on a tie, you can win up to $1710.00!
Important information for your tip for NAC x NEC: 👉 If you had bet $100 on NAC in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $388.0. |
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Analysis from NAC x NEC for the Netherlands Eredivisie – 5 of October
🏟️ NAC X NEC – Netherlands Eredivisie |
Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for NAC x NEC right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.
To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1194677 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:
Tips for the Match Odds market for NAC x NEC
Should you bet on NAC?
🔵 NAC: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 30.2%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.02. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 300 times – having a profit of $606.00;
- And would have lost other 700 times – with a loss of -$700.00 because of them.
Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$94.00.
Is it worth betting on draw?
⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 31.52% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.42. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 320 times – this would give you a profit of $774.40
- And would have lost other 680 times – with a loss of -$680.00 because of them.
It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of 💰$94.40.
Is it a good idea to bet on NEC?
🔴 NEC: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 38.28% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.25. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 380 times – having a profit of $475.00;
- And would lose other 620 times – having a loss of -$620.00 with them.
That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$145.00.
Handicaps analysis for the match NAC x NEC
Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.
Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: 0.0 NAC
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for NAC x NEC
⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 0.0 NAC and the available handicap to bet at the moment is +0.25 NAC.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: +0.25 NAC.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for NAC x NEC
⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.50 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.75 goals.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: – 2.75 goals.