NEC x Ajax Betting tips for December 1 in Netherlands Eredivisie

Our betting tip for NEC x Ajax, Sunday, 1/12/2024

📅 1/12/2024 15:45

NEC 4.40

X 4.00

Ajax 1.70

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for NEC x Ajax:

🔮 Ajax wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Ajax, you can win up to $850.00!

Make this bet on Bet365 now!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com 

Important information for your tip for NEC x Ajax: 👉 If you had bet $100 on NEC in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $72.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Ajax in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $245.0. 👉 In the last 9 matches as the home team, NEC scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 4 NEC matches as the home team, it finished over 2.5 goals. 👉 Playing as the home team, NEC conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 5 head-to-head against Ajax.

Looking for another bookie to bet on NEC x Ajax?

If you already have an account on Bet365 or want other options of bookmakers, do not worry! This list below was carefully created taking you into consideration. These are the best betting sites analysed by us in 2024. You just have to click, deposit and bet:

Analysis from NEC x Ajax for the Netherlands Eredivisie – 1 of December

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between NEC and Ajax.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1230121 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the Match Odds market for NEC x Ajax

Should you bet on NEC?

🔵 NEC: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 8.59%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 4.40. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 90 times – this would give you a profit of $306.00
• And would lose other 910 times – having a loss of -$910.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$604.00.

Is it worth betting on draw?

⚪ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 17.63% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 4.00. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 180 times – this would give you a profit of $540.00
• And would lose other 820 times – losing -$820.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$280.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on Ajax?

🔴 Ajax: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 73.78% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.70. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 740 times – having a profit of $518.00;
• And would lose other 260 times – having a loss of -$260.00 with them.

That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of 💰$258.00.

Handicaps analysis for the match NEC x Ajax

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: +1.0 NEC
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for NEC x Ajax

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be +1.0 NEC, and the current handicap offered by bookies is +0.75 NEC.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.75 Ajax.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for NEC x Ajax

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.00 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.75 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.75 goals.