NEC x Ajax Betting tips for December 20 in Netherlands Eredivisie
| 📅 20/12/2025 19:00 |
 NEC2.42 |
X 3.75 |
Ajax  2.60 |
This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for NEC x Ajax:
🔮 NEC wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on NEC, you can win up to $1210.00!
Important information for your tip for NEC x Ajax:
👉 If you had bet $100 on NEC in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $185.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Ajax in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $305.0.
👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team, NEC scored at least 2 goal(s).
👉 In the last 6 matches as the away team, Ajax scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team against Ajax, NEC scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 7 Ajax matches as the away team, it finished over 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 7 matches as the away team, Ajax conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 Playing as the home team, NEC conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 5 head-to-head against Ajax.
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Analysis from NEC x Ajax for the Netherlands Eredivisie – 20 of December
🏟️ NEC X Ajax – Netherlands Eredivisie
📅 20 of December, 2025 – 19:00
🔵 NEC – Winning probability: 52.68% | Fair line: 1.9
⚪ Tied game – Probability of tied match: 16.91% | Fair line: 5.91
🔴 Ajax – Winning probability: 30.41% | Fair line: 3.29
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.75 NEC
⚽ Expected goals: 3.25 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.75 corner kicks
A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between NEC and Ajax.
And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1454522 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:
Tips for the 1×2 market for NEC x Ajax
Is it a good idea to bet on NEC?
🔵 NEC: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 52.68%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.42. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 530 times – having a profit of $752.60;
- And would lose other 470 times – having a loss of -$470.00 with them.
Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of 💰$282.60.
Is it worth betting on draw?
⚪ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 16.91% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.75. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 170 times – profiting $467.50;
- And would lose other 830 times – having a loss of -$830.00 with them.
We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$362.50.
Is it worth betting on Ajax?
🔴 Ajax: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 30.41% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.60. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 300 times – profiting $480.00;
- And would have lost other 700 times – with a loss of -$700.00 because of them.
That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$220.00.
Handicaps analysis for the match NEC x Ajax
Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.
These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.75 NEC
⚽ Expected goals: 3.25 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for NEC x Ajax
⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.75 NEC and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.25 NEC.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.25 NEC.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for NEC x Ajax
⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.25 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 3.25 goals.
Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Goals Handicap market.
