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Home » Predictions » Eredivisie » NEC x AZ Betting tips for March 29 in Netherlands Eredivisie
Saturday, 29 March 2025, 20h00 Netherlands Eredivisie
NEC NEC
PREDICTION AZ Wins Probability 74% 1 X 2
AZ AZ
ODD: @2.1 Don't miss this prediction!

NEC x AZ Betting tips for March 29 in Netherlands Eredivisie

Our betting tip for NEC x AZ, Saturday, 29/3/2025
📅 29/3/2025
20:00
NEC NEC
3.20
X
3.50
AZ AZ
2.10

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for NEC x AZ:

🔮 AZ wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on AZ, you can win up to $1050.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

Important information for your tip for NEC x AZ:

👉 If you had bet $100 on NEC in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-330.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on AZ in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-500.
👉 In the last 6 matches as the home team, NEC scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 7 matches as the away team, AZ scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 4 NEC matches as the home team, it finished over 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 5 AZ matches as the away team, it finished over 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 5 head-to-head matches between NEC x AZ, with NEC as the home team, they finished over 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 6 matches as the home team, NEC conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 5 matches as the away team, AZ conceded at least 2 goal(s).
👉 Playing as the home team, NEC conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 5 head-to-head against AZ.
👉 Even as a visitor, AZ won the last 3 head-to-head matches NEC´s territory

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Summary

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Analysis from NEC x AZ for the Netherlands Eredivisie – 29 of March

🏟️ NEC X AZ – Netherlands Eredivisie
📅 29 of March, 2025 – 20:00
🔵 NEC – Winning probability: 10.21% | Fair line: 9.8
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 15.30% | Fair line: 6.53
🔴 AZ – Winning probability: 74.49% | Fair line: 1.34
⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.25 NEC
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 10.00 corner kicks

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between NEC and AZ.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1290777 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the 1×2 market for NEC x AZ

Is betting on NEC worth it?

🔵 NEC: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 10.21% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.20. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 100 times – having a profit of $220.00;
  • And would have lost other 900 times – with a loss of -$900.00 because of them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$680.00.

Is it worth betting on draw?

draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 15.3%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.50. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 150 times – profiting $375.00;
  • And would lose other 850 times – losing -$850.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$475.00.

Is it worth betting on AZ?

🔴 AZ: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 74.49% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.10. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 740 times – having a profit of $814.00;
  • And would lose other 260 times – losing -$260.00 with them.

It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of 💰$554.00.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Handicaps analysis for the match NEC x AZ

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.25 NEC
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for NEC x AZ

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is +0.25 NEC and the available handicap to bet at the moment is +0.25 NEC.

The handicap that our algorithm found is the same as the bookies, which means that there is not any value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for NEC x AZ

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.75 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.50 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.50 goals.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Written by
Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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