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Home ยป Predictions ยป Eredivisie ยป NEC x Go Ahead Eagles Betting tips for May 23 in Netherlands Eredivisie
Thursday, 23 May 2024, 16h45 Netherlands Eredivisie
NEC NEC
PREDICTION Draw Match Probability 32% 1 X 2
Go Ahead Eagles Go Ahead Eagles
ODD: @3.52 Don't miss this prediction!

NEC x Go Ahead Eagles Betting tips for May 23 in Netherlands Eredivisie

Our betting tip for NEC x Go Ahead Eagles, Thursday, 23/5/2024
๐Ÿ“… 23/5/2024
16:45
NEC NEC
2.08
X
3.52
Go Ahead Eagles Go Ahead Eagles
3.41

Our algorithm has selected this tip for NEC x Go Ahead Eagles:

๐Ÿ”ฎ Tied Match
๐Ÿ’ฐ When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on a tie, you can win up to $1760.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

Some important points for the tip for NEC x Go Ahead Eagles:

๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on NEC in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $405.0.
๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Go Ahead Eagles in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-350.0.
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 4 matches as the home team against Go Ahead Eagles, NEC scored at least 1 goal(s).
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 4 NEC matches as the home team, it finished over 2.5 goals.
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 4 matches as the home team, NEC conceded at least 1 goal(s).
๐Ÿ‘‰ Playing as the home team, NEC conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 3 head-to-head against Go Ahead Eagles.
๐Ÿ‘‰ NEC has not lost any of the last 4 head-to-head matches against Go Ahead Eagles playing at home.

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Summary

Looking for more options of bookmakers for your bet on NEC x Go Ahead Eagles?

If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on NEC x Go Ahead Eagles, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2024. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:

Analysis from NEC x Go Ahead Eagles for the Netherlands Eredivisie – 23 of May

๐ŸŸ๏ธ NEC X Go Ahead Eagles – Netherlands Eredivisie
๐Ÿ“… 23 of May, 2024 – 16:45
๐Ÿ”ต NEC – Winning probability: 43.96% | Fair line: 2.27
โšช Tied game – Probability of tied match: 32.38% | Fair line: 3.09
๐Ÿ”ด Go Ahead Eagles – Winning probability: 23.65% | Fair line: 4.23
โš– Handicap 1×2: -0.25 NEC
โšฝ Expected goals: 3.00 goals
โ›ณ Expected corner kicks: 9.50 corner kicks

When the best bet on NEC x Go Ahead Eagles is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1123894 matches on the database from our soccer prognostics platform, Betfellows, looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the Match Odds market for NEC x Go Ahead Eagles

Is betting on NEC worth it?

๐Ÿ”ต NEC: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 43.96% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.08. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 440 times – profiting $475.20;
  • And would lose other 560 times – having a loss of -$560.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$84.80.

Is betting on draw worth it?

โšช draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 32.38% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.52. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 320 times – profiting $806.40;
  • And would lose other 680 times – having a loss of -$680.00 with them.

So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of ๐Ÿ’ฐ$126.40.

Is it a good idea to bet on Go Ahead Eagles?

๐Ÿ”ด Go Ahead Eagles: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 23.65% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.41. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 240 times – profiting $578.40;
  • And would lose other 760 times – having a loss of -$760.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$181.60.

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Handicaps analysis for the match NEC x Go Ahead Eagles

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on soccer betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

โš– Handicap 1×2: -0.25 NEC
โšฝ Expected goals: 3.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for NEC x Go Ahead Eagles

โš– Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.25 NEC, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.5 NEC.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.5 Go Ahead Eagles.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for NEC x Go Ahead Eagles

โšฝ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.00 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 3.00 goals.

The handicap that our algorithm found is the same as the bookies, which means that there is not any value to bet on the Goals Handicap market.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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