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Home ยป Predictions ยป Eredivisie ยป NEC x Heerenveen Betting tips for October 19 in Netherlands Eredivisie
Saturday, 19 October 2024, 18h00 Netherlands Eredivisie
NEC NEC
PREDICTION NEC wins Probability 59% 1 X 2
Heerenveen Heerenveen
ODD: @1.88 Don't miss this prediction!

NEC x Heerenveen Betting tips for October 19 in Netherlands Eredivisie

Our betting tip for NEC x Heerenveen, Saturday, 19/10/2024
๐Ÿ“… 19/10/2024
18:00
NEC NEC
1.88
X
3.80
Heerenveen Heerenveen
3.70

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for NEC x Heerenveen:

๐Ÿ”ฎ NEC wins the match
๐Ÿ’ฐ When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on NEC, you can win up to $940.00!

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The main points for the tip for NEC x Heerenveen:

๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on NEC in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-335.0.
๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Heerenveen in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-500.
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 5 matches as the home team, NEC scored at least 1 goal(s).
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 5 matches as the home team against Heerenveen, NEC scored at least 1 goal(s).
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 7 matches as the away team, Heerenveen conceded at least 1 goal(s).
๐Ÿ‘‰ It is not a good time for Heerenveen as away team: it comes from 6 losses in a row in its last away matches.

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Summary

Looking for another bookie to bet on NEC x Heerenveen?

If you want to take a look at more options of betting websites, we, from the Clube, have listed our favorites for you. Right below you can check the best kenyan betting sites from 2024, carefully analysed by us. Pick yours and start betting now on NEC x Heerenveen:

Analysis from NEC x Heerenveen for the Netherlands Eredivisie – 19 of October

๐ŸŸ๏ธ NEC X Heerenveen – Netherlands Eredivisie
๐Ÿ“… 19 of October, 2024 – 18:00
๐Ÿ”ต NEC – Winning probability: 59.58% | Fair line: 1.68
โšช Tied game – Probability of tied match: 16.74% | Fair line: 5.98
๐Ÿ”ด Heerenveen – Winning probability: 23.68% | Fair line: 4.22
โš– Handicap 1×2: -0.5 NEC
โšฝ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
โ›ณ Expected corner kicks: 10.50 corner kicks

When the best bet on NEC x Heerenveen is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1203916 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the Match Odds market for NEC x Heerenveen

Is betting on NEC worth it?

๐Ÿ”ต NEC: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 59.58%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.88. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 600 times – this would give you a profit of $528.00
  • And would have lost other 400 times – with a loss of -$400.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of ๐Ÿ’ฐ$128.00.

Should you bet on draw?

โšช draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 16.74% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.80. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 170 times – this would give you a profit of $476.00
  • And would lose other 830 times – losing -$830.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$354.00.

Should you bet on Heerenveen?

๐Ÿ”ด Heerenveen: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 23.68%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.70. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 240 times – profiting $648.00;
  • And would lose other 760 times – losing -$760.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$112.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match NEC x Heerenveen

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

โš– Handicap 1×2: -0.5 NEC
โšฝ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for NEC x Heerenveen

โš– Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.5 NEC, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.5 NEC.

Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for NEC x Heerenveen

โšฝ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.75 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 3.00 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: – 3.00 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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